Liga I · Regular Season - 11
FC Botosani 2–0 Uta Arad
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Stadionul Municipal, Sfântu Gheorghe
FC BotosaniTeam 1448Uta AradTeam 1512- Sebastian Mailat 11' (pen)
- Lucas de Vega Lima 17'
We gave Uta Arad 39% to win: FC Botosani won.
- Sebastian Mailat 1532 +27* (pen.)11'FC Botosani:Sebastian Mailat 1532 +27* (pen.)
- Lucas de Vega Lima 1517 +32*17'FC Botosani:Lucas de Vega Lima 1517 +32*
- 25'Denis Alberto Taroi 1379 −8*Uta Arad:Denis Alberto Taroi 1379 −8*
- 27'Marinos Tzionis 1548 −6 for Denis Alberto Taroi 1379 −8*Uta Arad:Marinos Tzionis 1548 −6 for Denis Alberto Taroi 1379 −8*
- 45'Jayson Papeau 1512 −12* for Antoni Ivanov 1507 −13*Uta Arad:Jayson Papeau 1512 −12* for Antoni Ivanov 1507 −13*
- Lucas de Vega Lima 1517 +32*56'FC Botosani:Lucas de Vega Lima 1517 +32*
- 65'Sota Mino 1554 −23*Uta Arad:Sota Mino 1554 −23*
- 69'Alexandru Benga 1354 −17*Uta Arad:Alexandru Benga 1354 −17*
- Mykola Kovtalyuk 1409 −5* for Sebastian Mailat 1532 +27*71'FC Botosani:Mykola Kovtalyuk 1409 −5* for Sebastian Mailat 1532 +27*
- Ştefan Bodişteanu 1455 +5* for Zoran Mitrov 1540 +4*71'FC Botosani:Ştefan Bodişteanu 1455 +5* for Zoran Mitrov 1540 +4*
- Charles Petro 1482 +3* for Lucas de Vega Lima 1517 +32*72'FC Botosani:Charles Petro 1482 +3* for Lucas de Vega Lima 1517 +32*
- 72'Dmitro Pospelov 1477 −14* for Samuel Gueulette 1610 −23*Uta Arad:Dmitro Pospelov 1477 −14* for Samuel Gueulette 1610 −23*
- 79'Roland Remus Patrik Sabau for robert badescu 1427 −8*Uta Arad:Roland Remus Patrik Sabau for robert badescu 1427 −8*
- 79'Ismet Sinani 868 −8* for Marius Coman 1548 −18*Uta Arad:Ismet Sinani 868 −8* for Marius Coman 1548 −18*
- Mihai Bordeianu 1287 −11* for Enriko Papa 1380 +15*81'FC Botosani:Mihai Bordeianu 1287 −11* for Enriko Papa 1380 +15*
- Ştefan Bodişteanu 1455 +5*81'FC Botosani:Ştefan Bodişteanu 1455 +5*
- Alexandru Tiganasu 1282 −10* for Hervin Ongenda 1494 +46*85'FC Botosani:Alexandru Tiganasu 1282 −10* for Hervin Ongenda 1494 +46*
- 90+1'Dmitro Pospelov 1477 −14*Uta Arad:Dmitro Pospelov 1477 −14*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%(FC Botosani · draw · Uta Arad)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Botosani €330K, Uta Arad €378K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Liga I): FC Botosani ranked #16 of 18, Uta Arad #4.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Botosani
12th in Liga I · 11 pts from 10
- 19 SepLCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1436
- 13 SepDArges Pitesti Liga I1483
- 5 SepWSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1439
- 30 AugDFarul Constanta Liga I1432
- 24 AugWCsikszereda Liga I1406
Uta Arad
10th in Liga I · 12 pts from 10
- 18 SepWSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1536
- 11 SepLFarul Constanta Liga I1520
- 5 SepWCsikszereda Liga I1515
- 30 AugWFCSB Liga I1472
- 22 AugDCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1493
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Botosani | 11 /10 | 32.5 | 0% | <1% | 37% | 14th |
| Uta Arad | 12 /10 | 37.9 | 0% | 3% | 10% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Botosani · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1448
Uta Arad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1576
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Botosani: direct (how Marius Marian Croitoru plays) · Uta Arad: balanced profile (how Adrian Dumitru Mihalcea plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.