Liga I · Regular Season - 13
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadionul Municipal
FC Botosani host Petrolul Ploiesti on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Botosani 34%, draw 29%, Petrolul Ploiesti 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Botosani €345K, Petrolul Ploiesti €315K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Botosani goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Botosani 1479 · Petrolul Ploiesti 1511
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Botosani · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1511
Petrolul Ploiesti · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1621
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Botosani
11th in Liga I · 14 pts from 12
- 16 OctLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1491
- 10 OctWUta Arad Liga I1470
- 19 SepLCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1436
- 13 SepDArges Pitesti Liga I1483
- 5 SepWSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1439
Petrolul Ploiesti
4th in Liga I · 20 pts from 12
- 17 OctDSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1557
- 11 OctLFarul Constanta Liga I1577
- 21 SepWCsikszereda Liga I1516
- 14 SepDFCSB Liga I1541
- 6 SepWCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1514
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Botosani | 14 /12 | 34.0 | 0% | 1% | 25% | 13th |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 20 /12 | 41.9 | 0% | 9% | 2% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Botosani: direct (how Marius Marian Croitoru plays) · Petrolul Ploiesti: balanced profile (how Ricardo André Pinho de Sousa plays)