Super League · Regular Season - 14
FC Basel 1893 vs FC Luzern
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · St. Jakob-Park, Basel
FC Basel 1893 host FC Luzern on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Basel 1893 55%, draw 25%, FC Luzern 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Basel 1893 €1.4M, FC Luzern €737K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Super League): FC Basel 1893 rank #1 of 13, FC Luzern #10.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Basel 1893 goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–19%
- 2–27%
- 2–07%
- 3–17%
- 1–06%
- Other scores53%
Team Elo: FC Basel 1893 1807 · FC Luzern 1657
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Basel 1893 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1714
FC Luzern · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.1 (Average) · Elo 1784
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Basel 1893
7th in Super League · 15 pts from 13
- 8 NovDFC Thun Swiss Super League1794
- 1 NovLFC Lugano Swiss Super League1810
- 25 OctDGrasshoppers Swiss Super League1802
- 11 OctLFC Vaduz Swiss Super League1831
- 20 SepLFC ST. Gallen Swiss Super League1826
FC Luzern
9th in Super League · 13 pts from 13
- 7 NovLBSC Young Boys Swiss Super League1648
- 31 OctDFC Sion Swiss Super League1641
- 24 OctLFC Zurich Swiss Super League1652
- 10 OctLFC Lugano Swiss Super League1663
- 19 SepWGrasshoppers Swiss Super League1627
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Basel 1893 | 15 /13 | 29.0 | 0% | 7% | 2% | 7th |
| FC Luzern | 13 /13 | 23.4 | 0% | <1% | 30% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Basel 1893: possession-based (how Slaviša Jokanović plays) · FC Luzern: balanced profile (how Jörg Portmann plays)