Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · WWK Arena, Augsburg
FC Augsburg host SC Freiburg on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Augsburg 27%, draw 28%, SC Freiburg 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Augsburg €7.5M, SC Freiburg €14.2M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Bundesliga): FC Augsburg rank #15 of 18, SC Freiburg #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Augsburg goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: FC Augsburg 2010 · SC Freiburg 2174
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Augsburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2182
SC Freiburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2285
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Augsburg
10th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 6
- 17 OctLSV Elversberg Bundesliga2040
- 10 OctDBayern München Bundesliga2039
- 19 SepLWerder Bremen Bundesliga2041
- 12 SepDBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2044
- 6 SepWEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga2022
SC Freiburg
3rd in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 6
- 18 OctLBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2231
- 15 OctWFK Jablonec UEFA Conference League2099
- 11 OctWFC Schalke 04 Bundesliga2249
- 19 SepDEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga2245
- 12 SepWBorussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga2226
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | 8 /6 | 42.3 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 10th |
| SC Freiburg | 13 /6 | 56.8 | <1% | 44% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Augsburg: balanced profile (how Manuel Baum plays) · SC Freiburg: balanced profile (how Julian Schuster plays)