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Premier League · Regular Season - 23

FC Astana 2–2 Kaspiy

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Astana Arena, Astana

FC Astana crestFC AstanaTeam 1581
2–2
Full time
HT 1–2
Kaspiy crestKaspiyTeam 1345

Match story

FC Astana · draw · Kaspiy

Before kick-off: 61% · 23% · 16%

Live chances: FC Astana 1%, draw 98%, Kaspiy 1% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · FC Astana 61%, draw 23%, Kaspiy 16%3' · 0–0 · FC Astana 61%, draw 23%, Kaspiy 16%4' · 0–0 · FC Astana 60%, draw 23%, Kaspiy 16%5' · 0–0 · FC Astana 60%, draw 23%, Kaspiy 16%6' · 0–0 · FC Astana 60%, draw 24%, Kaspiy 16%7' · 0–0 · FC Astana 60%, draw 24%, Kaspiy 16%8' · 0–0 · FC Astana 60%, draw 24%, Kaspiy 17%9' · 0–0 · FC Astana 59%, draw 24%, Kaspiy 17%10' · 0–0 · FC Astana 59%, draw 24%, Kaspiy 17%11' · 0–0 · FC Astana 59%, draw 24%, Kaspiy 17%12' · 0–0 · FC Astana 59%, draw 24%, Kaspiy 17%13' · 0–0 · FC Astana 59%, draw 25%, Kaspiy 17%14' · 0–0 · FC Astana 58%, draw 25%, Kaspiy 17%15' · 0–0 · FC Astana 58%, draw 25%, Kaspiy 17%16' · 0–0 · FC Astana 58%, draw 25%, Kaspiy 17%17' · 0–0 · FC Astana 58%, draw 25%, Kaspiy 17%18' · 0–0 · FC Astana 57%, draw 25%, Kaspiy 17%19' · 0–0 · FC Astana 57%, draw 26%, Kaspiy 17%20' · 0–0 · FC Astana 57%, draw 26%, Kaspiy 17%21' · 0–0 · FC Astana 57%, draw 26%, Kaspiy 17%22' · 0–0 · FC Astana 56%, draw 26%, Kaspiy 17%23' · 0–0 · FC Astana 56%, draw 26%, Kaspiy 17%24' · 0–1 · FC Astana 37%, draw 28%, Kaspiy 35%25' · 0–1 · FC Astana 37%, draw 28%, Kaspiy 35%26' · 0–1 · FC Astana 37%, draw 28%, Kaspiy 36%27' · 1–1 · FC Astana 55%, draw 27%, Kaspiy 18%28' · 1–1 · FC Astana 55%, draw 27%, Kaspiy 18%29' · 1–1 · FC Astana 55%, draw 28%, Kaspiy 18%30' · 1–1 · FC Astana 54%, draw 28%, Kaspiy 18%31' · 1–1 · FC Astana 54%, draw 28%, Kaspiy 18%32' · 1–1 · FC Astana 54%, draw 28%, Kaspiy 18%33' · 1–1 · FC Astana 54%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 18%34' · 1–1 · FC Astana 53%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 18%35' · 1–1 · FC Astana 53%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 18%36' · 1–2 · FC Astana 32%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 39%37' · 1–2 · FC Astana 32%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 39%38' · 1–2 · FC Astana 31%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 40%39' · 1–2 · FC Astana 31%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 40%40' · 1–2 · FC Astana 30%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 40%41' · 1–2 · FC Astana 30%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 41%42' · 1–2 · FC Astana 29%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 41%43' · 1–2 · FC Astana 29%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 41%44' · 1–2 · FC Astana 28%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 42%45' · 1–2 · FC Astana 28%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 42%45+1' · 1–2 · FC Astana 27%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 43%45+2' · 1–2 · FC Astana 27%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 43%HT · 1–2 · FC Astana 26%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 44%46' · 1–2 · FC Astana 26%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 44%47' · 1–2 · FC Astana 25%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 44%48' · 1–2 · FC Astana 25%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 45%49' · 1–2 · FC Astana 24%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 45%50' · 1–2 · FC Astana 24%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 46%51' · 1–2 · FC Astana 23%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 46%52' · 1–2 · FC Astana 22%, draw 31%, Kaspiy 47%53' · 1–2 · FC Astana 22%, draw 31%, Kaspiy 48%54' · 1–2 · FC Astana 21%, draw 31%, Kaspiy 48%55' · 1–2 · FC Astana 21%, draw 31%, Kaspiy 49%56' · 1–2 · FC Astana 20%, draw 31%, Kaspiy 50%57' · 1–2 · FC Astana 19%, draw 31%, Kaspiy 50%58' · 1–2 · FC Astana 19%, draw 31%, Kaspiy 51%59' · 1–2 · FC Astana 18%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 52%60' · 1–2 · FC Astana 17%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 52%61' · 1–2 · FC Astana 17%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 53%62' · 1–2 · FC Astana 16%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 54%63' · 1–2 · FC Astana 15%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 54%64' · 1–2 · FC Astana 15%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 55%65' · 1–2 · FC Astana 14%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 56%66' · 1–2 · FC Astana 14%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 57%67' · 1–2 · FC Astana 13%, draw 30%, Kaspiy 57%68' · 1–2 · FC Astana 13%, draw 29%, Kaspiy 58%69' · 2–2 · FC Astana 35%, draw 49%, Kaspiy 16%70' · 2–2 · FC Astana 35%, draw 49%, Kaspiy 16%71' · 2–2 · FC Astana 34%, draw 50%, Kaspiy 16%72' · 2–2 · FC Astana 33%, draw 51%, Kaspiy 16%73' · 2–2 · FC Astana 32%, draw 52%, Kaspiy 15%74' · 2–2 · FC Astana 31%, draw 54%, Kaspiy 15%75' · 2–2 · FC Astana 31%, draw 55%, Kaspiy 15%76' · 2–2 · FC Astana 30%, draw 56%, Kaspiy 14%77' · 2–2 · FC Astana 29%, draw 57%, Kaspiy 14%78' · 2–2 · FC Astana 28%, draw 58%, Kaspiy 14%79' · 2–2 · FC Astana 27%, draw 60%, Kaspiy 13%80' · 2–2 · FC Astana 26%, draw 61%, Kaspiy 13%81' · 2–2 · FC Astana 25%, draw 63%, Kaspiy 13%82' · 2–2 · FC Astana 24%, draw 64%, Kaspiy 12%83' · 2–2 · FC Astana 23%, draw 66%, Kaspiy 12%85' · 2–2 · FC Astana 20%, draw 69%, Kaspiy 11%86' · 2–2 · FC Astana 19%, draw 71%, Kaspiy 10%87' · 2–2 · FC Astana 18%, draw 73%, Kaspiy 9%88' · 2–2 · FC Astana 16%, draw 75%, Kaspiy 9%89' · 2–2 · FC Astana 15%, draw 77%, Kaspiy 8%90' · 2–2 · FC Astana 13%, draw 80%, Kaspiy 7%90+1' · 2–2 · FC Astana 11%, draw 83%, Kaspiy 6%90+2' · 2–2 · FC Astana 9%, draw 85%, Kaspiy 5%90+3' · 2–2 · FC Astana 8%, draw 88%, Kaspiy 4%90+4' · 2–2 · FC Astana 5%, draw 91%, Kaspiy 3%90+5' · 2–2 · FC Astana 3%, draw 95%, Kaspiy 2%90+6' · 2–2 · FC Astana 1%, draw 98%, Kaspiy 1%

Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 1%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FC Astana 61% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 23'Kaspiy:D. Epton 1290 +7* assist K. Sylla 1246 +9*
  2. 26'FC Astana:M. Tomasov 1494 −14 assist Y. Vorogovskiy 1713 −2
  3. 35'FC Astana:A. Beysebekov 1311 −13*
  4. 35'Kaspiy:K. Sylla 1246 +9*
  5. 49'Kaspiy:D. Aripov 1297 +5*
  6. 59'FC Astana:D. Marat 1379 for S. Basmanov 1490 0
  7. 60'FC Astana:N. Buric 1206 for B. Islamkhan 1589 −6
  8. 60'FC Astana:D. Karaman 1691 for A. Beysebekov 1311 −13*
  9. 64'Kaspiy:I. Umaev 1405 for N. Ndombasi 1434 0*
  10. 64'Kaspiy:R. Abylaykhan 1274 for K. Sylla 1246 +9*
  11. 68'FC Astana:A. Merkel 1242
  12. 71'Kaspiy:A. Amaral 1360 +4*
  13. 74'FC Astana:A. Merkel 1242 for R. Karimov 1643 −1
  14. 83'Kaspiy:M. Serikbay 1257 for D. Epton 1290 +7*
  15. 90+3'Kaspiy:B. Kabylan 1190 for V. Klimovich 1467 −4*
  16. 90+3'Kaspiy:D. Nechayev – for P. Sedko 1497 −4*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GZhomart Dinmukhammed1025+21*
DDierzhon Aripov1297+5*
DAndré Amaral1360+4*
DBernardo Morgado1452−1*
DMaksat Taykenov1384+1*
MDavid Epton1290+7*
DAmandyk Nabikhanov1393+1*
MPavel Sedko1497−4*
MVladislav Klimovich1467−4*
MNoha Ndombasi14340*
FKeba Sylla1246+9*
CRuslan Esatov1270
Before kick-off: 61% · 23% · 16%(FC Astana · draw · Kaspiy)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 2–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FC Astana €638K, Kaspiy €199K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FC Astana

3rd in Premier League · 48 pts from 26

  • 14 OctWIrtysh 1652
  • 17 SepWKairat Almaty 1628
  • 12 SepLOrdabasy 1620
  • 6 SepWYelimay Semey 1620
  • 30 AugWAtyrau 1604

Kaspiy

9th in Premier League · 32 pts from 27

  • 18 SepWZhetysu 1349
  • 12 SepLAktobe 1333
  • 5 SepLKairat Almaty 1288
  • 30 AugWFK Tobol Kostanay 1350
  • 16 AugDYelimay Semey 1335

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FC Astana48 /2654.30%100%0%3rd
Kaspiy32 /2734.70%0%0%9th
FC Astana
Kaspiy

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

I. Bašić
I. Bašić

FC Astana · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2042

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Grigoriy Babayan

Coach DNA: –

Ruslan Esatov

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.