Premier League · Regular Season - 29
FC Astana vs Kaisar
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Astana Arena, Astana
FC Astana host Kaisar on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Astana 64%, draw 22%, Kaisar 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Astana €602K, Kaisar €206K.
- Premier League: I. Bašić is the highest-rated midfielder (2037).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Astana goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: FC Astana 1648 · Kaisar 1378
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

FC Astana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2037

Kaisar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1361
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Astana
3rd in Premier League · 49 pts from 27
- 18 OctDKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1648
- 14 OctWIrtysh Kazakhstan Premier League1652
- 17 SepWKairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League1628
- 12 SepLOrdabasy Kazakhstan Premier League1620
- 6 SepWYelimay Semey Kazakhstan Premier League1620
Kaisar
16th in Premier League · 24 pts from 28
- 17 OctLZhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League1409
- 18 SepDKyzyl-Zhar Kazakhstan Premier League1369
- 12 SepWAtyrau Kazakhstan Premier League1353
- 6 SepLAltay Kazakhstan Premier League1367
- 29 AugLOkzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League1390
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Astana | 49 /27 | 53.1 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 3rd |
| Kaisar | 24 /28 | 25.8 | 0% | 0% | 85% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –