K League 1 · Relegation Group - 34
FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Anyang Stadium, Anyang
FC Anyang host Bucheon FC 1995 on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Anyang 52%, draw 26%, Bucheon FC 1995 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Anyang €414K, Bucheon FC 1995 €236K.
- Bucheon FC 1995's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
- FC Anyang are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Anyang goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Anyang 1607 · Bucheon FC 1995 1482
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Anyang · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1725
Bucheon FC 1995 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1566
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Anyang
8th in K League 1 · 43 pts from 33
- 24 OctDJeonbuk Motors K League 11599
- 18 OctDPohang Steelers K League 11615
- 10 OctWGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11617
- 19 SepWUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11586
- 13 SepDGwangju FC K League 11521
Bucheon FC 1995
11th in K League 1 · 32 pts from 33
- 24 OctLGwangju FC K League 11486
- 17 OctLUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11457
- 9 OctLGangwon FC K League 11478
- 19 SepLGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11516
- 12 SepDJeju United FC K League 11477
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Anyang | 43 /33 | 50.8 | 0% | 6% | 2% | 9th |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 32 /33 | 37.8 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –