Segunda División · Regular Season - 11
FC Andorra vs Burgos
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estadi de la FAF, Encamp
FC Andorra host Burgos on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Andorra 41%, draw 29%, Burgos 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Andorra €751K, Burgos €1.0M.
- Home advantage makes FC Andorra the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Segunda División): FC Andorra rank #1 of 23, Burgos #21.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Andorra goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FC Andorra 1752 · Burgos 1797
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Andorra · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1935
Burgos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1835
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Andorra
18th in Segunda División · 10 pts from 10
- 18 OctLGirona Spain Segunda Division1738
- 11 OctWCastellón Spain Segunda Division1709
- 26 SepWGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1597
- 19 SepLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1752
- 12 SepLReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1625
Burgos
8th in Segunda División · 17 pts from 10
- 18 OctWSabadell Spain Segunda Division1804
- 12 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1811
- 3 OctLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1787
- 27 SepWEldense Spain Segunda Division1836
- 20 SepWLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1763
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra | 10 /10 | 53.5 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 12th |
| Burgos | 17 /10 | 62.3 | 1% | 10% | <1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Andorra: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Carles Manso plays) · Burgos: balanced profile (how Sergio Francisco Ramos plays)