1. Lig · Regular Season - 13
Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul
Fatih Karagümrük host Pendikspor on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fatih Karagümrük 53%, draw 26%, Pendikspor 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fatih Karagümrük €548K, Pendikspor €264K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fatih Karagümrük goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Fatih Karagümrük 1685 · Pendikspor 1567
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fatih Karagümrük · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1808
Pendikspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1617
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fatih Karagümrük
12th in 1. Lig · 13 pts from 10
- 15 OctLMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1622
- 11 OctDMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1680
- 19 SepWEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1646
- 13 SepDManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1686
- 6 SepLBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1724
Pendikspor
16th in 1. Lig · 10 pts from 10
- 13 OctLVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1563
- 9 OctLSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1626
- 20 SepDBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1606
- 12 SepDBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1629
- 5 SepWÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1618
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatih Karagümrük | 13 /10 | 54.4 | <1% | 10% | 1% | 8th |
| Pendikspor | 10 /10 | 43.0 | 0% | <1% | 23% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fatih Karagümrük: balanced profile (how Aleksandar Stanojević plays) · Pendikspor: balanced profile (how Umut Eskikoy plays)