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1. Lig · Regular Season - 9

Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Muğlaspor

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, Istanbul

Fatih Karagümrük crestFatih KaragümrükTeam 1643
1–1
Full time
HT 1–1
Muğlaspor crestMuğlasporTeam 1566

Match story

Fatih Karagümrük · draw · Muğlaspor

Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 24%

Live chances: Fatih Karagümrük 3%, draw 93%, Muğlaspor 4% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 50%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 24%2' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 50%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 24%3' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 50%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 24%4' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 49%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 24%5' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 49%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 24%6' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 49%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 24%7' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 49%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 24%8' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 49%, draw 28%, Muğlaspor 24%9' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 49%, draw 28%, Muğlaspor 24%10' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 48%, draw 28%, Muğlaspor 24%11' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 48%, draw 28%, Muğlaspor 24%12' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 48%, draw 28%, Muğlaspor 24%13' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 48%, draw 28%, Muğlaspor 24%14' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 48%, draw 29%, Muğlaspor 24%15' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 29%, Muğlaspor 24%16' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 29%, Muğlaspor 24%17' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 29%, Muğlaspor 24%18' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 29%, Muğlaspor 24%19' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 24%20' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 24%21' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 46%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 24%22' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 46%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 24%23' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 75%, draw 17%, Muğlaspor 7%24' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 46%, draw 31%, Muğlaspor 24%25' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 46%, draw 31%, Muğlaspor 24%26' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 45%, draw 31%, Muğlaspor 24%27' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 45%, draw 31%, Muğlaspor 24%28' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 45%, draw 32%, Muğlaspor 24%29' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 45%, draw 32%, Muğlaspor 24%30' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 44%, draw 32%, Muğlaspor 24%31' · 0–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 44%, draw 32%, Muğlaspor 24%32' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 17%, Muğlaspor 7%33' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 17%, Muğlaspor 7%34' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 7%35' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 7%36' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 7%37' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 6%38' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 6%39' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 6%40' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 6%41' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 6%42' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 6%43' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 6%44' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 6%45' · 1–0 · Fatih Karagümrük 76%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 6%45+1' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 40%, draw 37%, Muğlaspor 23%HT · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 39%, draw 38%, Muğlaspor 23%46' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 39%, draw 38%, Muğlaspor 23%47' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 39%, draw 39%, Muğlaspor 22%48' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 39%, draw 39%, Muğlaspor 22%49' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 38%, draw 40%, Muğlaspor 22%50' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 38%, draw 40%, Muğlaspor 22%51' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 37%, draw 41%, Muğlaspor 22%52' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 37%, draw 41%, Muğlaspor 22%53' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 37%, draw 42%, Muğlaspor 22%54' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 23%, draw 43%, Muğlaspor 34%55' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 23%, draw 44%, Muğlaspor 33%56' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 22%, draw 45%, Muğlaspor 33%57' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 22%, draw 46%, Muğlaspor 32%59' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 22%, draw 47%, Muğlaspor 32%60' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 21%, draw 48%, Muğlaspor 31%61' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 21%, draw 48%, Muğlaspor 31%62' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 21%, draw 49%, Muğlaspor 30%63' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 20%, draw 50%, Muğlaspor 30%64' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 20%, draw 50%, Muğlaspor 29%65' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 20%, draw 51%, Muğlaspor 29%66' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 19%, draw 52%, Muğlaspor 28%67' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 19%, draw 53%, Muğlaspor 28%68' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 19%, draw 54%, Muğlaspor 28%69' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 18%, draw 55%, Muğlaspor 27%70' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 18%, draw 56%, Muğlaspor 26%71' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 18%, draw 57%, Muğlaspor 26%72' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 17%, draw 57%, Muğlaspor 25%73' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 17%, draw 59%, Muğlaspor 25%74' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 16%, draw 60%, Muğlaspor 24%75' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 16%, draw 61%, Muğlaspor 23%76' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 16%, draw 62%, Muğlaspor 23%77' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 15%, draw 63%, Muğlaspor 22%78' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 15%, draw 64%, Muğlaspor 21%79' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 14%, draw 65%, Muğlaspor 21%80' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 13%, draw 67%, Muğlaspor 20%81' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 13%, draw 68%, Muğlaspor 19%82' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 12%, draw 70%, Muğlaspor 18%83' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 12%, draw 71%, Muğlaspor 17%84' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 11%, draw 73%, Muğlaspor 16%85' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 10%, draw 74%, Muğlaspor 15%86' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 10%, draw 76%, Muğlaspor 14%87' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 9%, draw 77%, Muğlaspor 13%88' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 8%, draw 79%, Muğlaspor 12%89' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 8%, draw 81%, Muğlaspor 11%90' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 7%, draw 83%, Muğlaspor 10%90+1' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 6%, draw 86%, Muğlaspor 9%90+2' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 5%, draw 88%, Muğlaspor 7%90+3' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 4%, draw 90%, Muğlaspor 6%90+4' · 1–1 · Fatih Karagümrük 3%, draw 93%, Muğlaspor 4%

Last reading, 90+4': 3% · 93% · 4%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Fatih Karagümrük 50% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 11'Muğlaspor:Yiğit Fidan 1745 −5*
  2. 31'Fatih Karagümrük:Emre Akbaba 1699 −14* assist Çağtay Kurukalıp 1861 −9*
  3. 33'Fatih Karagümrük:Ahmed Traore 1589 −8*
  4. 44'Muğlaspor:Mamady·Diarra 1531 +15* assist Yasin Uzunoglu 1441 +10*
  5. 45+1'Muğlaspor:Yasin Uzunoglu 1441 +10*
  6. 53'Fatih Karagümrük:Çağtay Kurukalıp 1861 −9*
  7. 57'Muğlaspor:Poyraz Yildirim 1581 −2* (penalty missed)
  8. 57'Muğlaspor:Jurgen Çelhaka 1600 −3*
  9. 63'Muğlaspor:Daniel Avramovski 1601 −9* for Jurgen Çelhaka 1600 −3*
  10. 64'Muğlaspor:Driton Camaj 1689 −8* for Poyraz Yildirim 1581 −2*
  11. 64'Muğlaspor:Ibrahim Sissoko 1624 −8* for Yiğit Fidan 1745 −5*
  12. 71'Fatih Karagümrük:Baris Kalayci 1584 −8* for Manolis Siopis 1895 −14*
  13. 71'Fatih Karagümrük:Candan Baskale 1357 −8* for Ramazan Civelek 1747 −10*
  14. 74'Muğlaspor:Luis Mago 1533 −2*
  15. 82'Fatih Karagümrük:Tiago Cukur 1778 −8* for Cenk Tosun 1402 −15*
  16. 82'Fatih Karagümrük:Robin Yalçın 1627 −12* for Yaya Onogo 1497 −8*
  17. 85'Muğlaspor:İ. Furat 1266 −7* for Ali Kaan Guneren 1626 −2*
  18. 85'Muğlaspor:Korede Osundina 1632 −7* for Mamady·Diarra 1531 +15*
  19. 90+1'Fatih Karagümrük:J. Esen for Ahmed Traore 1589 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GM. Silvestri1737−11*
DM. Sarıkaya1329−8*
DD. Biraschi1819−16*
DA. Çınar1816−12*
DÇ. Kurukalıp1861−9*
MY. Onogo1497−8*
MM. Siopis1895−14*
MTraore Ahmed1589−8*
ME. Akbaba1699−14*
MR. Civelek1747−10*
FC. Tosun1402−15*
CA. Stanojević1715−8*
GE. Kılıçarslan1732−4*
DA. Engin1629−3*
DYiğit Fidan1745−5*
DL. Del Pino1533−2*
DO. Matur1434+4*
MM. Diarra1531+15*
MJ. Çelhaka1600−3*
MA. Güneren1626−2*
MO. Nahırcı1543+15*
FY. Uzunoglu1441+10*
FP. Yıldırım1581−2*
CY. Koşukavak1697+1*
Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 24%(Fatih Karagümrük · draw · Muğlaspor)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Fatih Karagümrük €589K, Muğlaspor €402K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Fatih Karagümrük

10th in 1. Lig · 12 pts from 8

  • 19 SepWEsenler Erokspor 1646
  • 13 SepDManisa F.K. 1686
  • 6 SepLBatman Petrolspor 1724
  • 2 SepDKayserispor 1731
  • 29 AugDİstanbulspor 1714

Muğlaspor

12th in 1. Lig · 11 pts from 8

  • 18 SepDIğdır FK 1589
  • 13 SepDSivasspor 1553
  • 6 SepDVanspor FK 1551
  • 28 AugWBoluspor 1550
  • 3 DecLBodrum FK 1140

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Fatih Karagümrük12 /859.22%33%<1%4th
Muğlaspor11 /846.60%1%12%15th
Fatih Karagümrük
Muğlaspor

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Biraschi
D. Biraschi

Fatih Karagümrük · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1835

L. Del Pino
L. Del Pino

Muğlaspor · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1536

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Aleksandar Stanojević

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Yalçın Koşukavak

Coach DNA: balanced profile

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.