Liga I · Regular Season - 15
Farul Constanta vs Rapid
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Central Stadium Hagi Academy, Ovidiu
Farul Constanta host Rapid on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Farul Constanta 20%, draw 25%, Rapid 55%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Farul Constanta €330K, Rapid €938K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Liga I matchday 15: 255 points.
- Rapid have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Farul Constanta goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Farul Constanta 1483 · Rapid 1738
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Farul Constanta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1607
Rapid · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1789
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Farul Constanta
7th in Liga I · 17 pts from 12
- 18 OctLUniversitatea Craiova Liga I1502
- 11 OctWPetrolul Ploiesti Liga I1432
- 20 SepLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1490
- 11 SepWUta Arad Liga I1418
- 4 SepDCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1449
Rapid
2nd in Liga I · 27 pts from 12
- 17 OctWCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1750
- 12 OctWUniversitatea Cluj Liga I1745
- 18 SepWArges Pitesti Liga I1715
- 12 SepWFC Voluntari Liga I1687
- 6 SepWOţelul Liga I1684
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 17 /12 | 37.6 | 0% | 2% | 9% | 9th |
| Rapid | 27 /12 | 59.4 | 25% | 97% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Farul Constanta: balanced profile (how I. Sabău plays) · Rapid: balanced profile (how D. Pancu plays)