Liga I · Regular Season - 11
Farul Constanta 3–1 Petrolul Ploiesti
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stadionul Viitorul, Ovidiu
Farul ConstantaTeam 1417
Petrolul PloiestiTeam 1553Match story
Farul Constanta · draw · Petrolul PloiestiBefore kick-off: 27% · 28% · 45%
Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Cristian Ganea 5'
- Matteo Ahlinvi 22'
- Răzvan Marincean 89'
- Alejandro Bran 33'
We gave Petrolul Ploiesti 45% to win: Farul Constanta won.
- Cristian Ganea 1524 +56* assist Ionuț Vână 1550 +50*5'
Farul Constanta:Cristian Ganea 1524 +56* assist Ionuț Vână 1550 +50* - Matteo Ahlinvi 1596 +29* assist Eduard Radaslavescu 1620 +17*22'
Farul Constanta:Matteo Ahlinvi 1596 +29* assist Eduard Radaslavescu 1620 +17* - 33'Alejandro Bran 1622 −55* assist Teixeira leo 1570 −16*
Petrolul Ploiesti:Alejandro Bran 1622 −55* assist Teixeira leo 1570 −16* - Victor Dican 1582 +8*51'
Farul Constanta:Victor Dican 1582 +8* - Narek Grigoryan 1592 +10 for Eddy Sylvestre 1572 +4*63'
Farul Constanta:Narek Grigoryan 1592 +10 for Eddy Sylvestre 1572 +4* - Răzvan Marincean 1320 +28* for Eduard Radaslavescu 1620 +17*63'
Farul Constanta:Răzvan Marincean 1320 +28* for Eduard Radaslavescu 1620 +17* - Razvan Tanasa 1540 0* for Muhamet Hyseni 943 +62*63'
Farul Constanta:Razvan Tanasa 1540 0* for Muhamet Hyseni 943 +62* - 63'Mario Ioniță 1114 −8* for Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz 1448 −8*
Petrolul Ploiesti:Mario Ioniță 1114 −8* for Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz 1448 −8* - 63'israel ola 1303 −8* for Sergiu Hanca 1477 −14*
Petrolul Ploiesti:israel ola 1303 −8* for Sergiu Hanca 1477 −14* - 70'israel ola 1303 −8*
Petrolul Ploiesti:israel ola 1303 −8* - Nicolas Popescu 1162 +3* for Matteo Ahlinvi 1596 +29*75'
Farul Constanta:Nicolas Popescu 1162 +3* for Matteo Ahlinvi 1596 +29* - 78'Rareș Leescu 1228 −8* for Paul Papp 1505 −17*
Petrolul Ploiesti:Rareș Leescu 1228 −8* for Paul Papp 1505 −17* - 78'Tiberiu Căpuşă 1551 −9* for mark tutu 1596 −18*
Petrolul Ploiesti:Tiberiu Căpuşă 1551 −9* for mark tutu 1596 −18* - 78'Kilian Ludewig 1485 −8* for Alejandro Bran 1622 −55*
Petrolul Ploiesti:Kilian Ludewig 1485 −8* for Alejandro Bran 1622 −55* - Răzvan Marincean 1320 +28* assist Razvan Tanasa 1540 0*89'
Farul Constanta:Răzvan Marincean 1320 +28* assist Razvan Tanasa 1540 0* - 89'Andres Dumitrescu 1625 −25*
Petrolul Ploiesti:Andres Dumitrescu 1625 −25*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 27% · 28% · 45%(Farul Constanta · draw · Petrolul Ploiesti)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–1 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Farul Constanta €318K, Petrolul Ploiesti €349K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Liga I): Farul Constanta ranked #4 of 18, Petrolul Ploiesti #17.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Farul Constanta
9th in Liga I · 14 pts from 10
- 20 SepLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1490
- 11 SepWUta Arad Liga I1418
- 4 SepDCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1449
- 30 AugDFC Botosani Liga I1481
- 23 AugDSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1514
Petrolul Ploiesti
4th in Liga I · 19 pts from 10
- 21 SepWCsikszereda Liga I1516
- 14 SepDFCSB Liga I1541
- 6 SepWCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1514
- 28 AugWUniversitatea Cluj Liga I1469
- 21 AugLRapid Liga I1475
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 14 /10 | 36.1 | 0% | 1% | 18% | 12th |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 19 /10 | 44.0 | <1% | 16% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Farul Constanta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1259

Petrolul Ploiesti · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1677
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Farul Constanta: balanced profile (how Ioan Ovidiu Sabău plays) · Petrolul Ploiesti: balanced profile (how Ricardo André Pinho de Sousa plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.