Liga I · Regular Season - 13
Farul Constanta vs Oţelul
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Central Stadium Hagi Academy, Ovidiu
Farul Constanta host Oţelul on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Farul Constanta 32%, draw 29%, Oţelul 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Farul Constanta €332K, Oţelul €420K.
- All 11 of Oţelul's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Farul Constanta goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Farul Constanta 1483 · Oţelul 1538
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Farul Constanta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1607
Oţelul · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1510
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Farul Constanta
6th in Liga I · 17 pts from 12
- 18 OctLUniversitatea Craiova Liga I1502
- 11 OctWPetrolul Ploiesti Liga I1432
- 20 SepLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1490
- 11 SepWUta Arad Liga I1418
- 4 SepDCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1449
Oţelul
13th in Liga I · 11 pts from 12
- 16 OctDCsikszereda Liga I1540
- 10 OctLFCSB Liga I1556
- 21 SepLCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1566
- 14 SepLUniversitatea Cluj Liga I1525
- 6 SepLRapid Liga I1553
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 17 /12 | 37.3 | 0% | 2% | 11% | 9th |
| Oţelul | 11 /12 | 34.4 | 0% | 1% | 25% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Farul Constanta: balanced profile (how Ioan Ovidiu Sabău plays) · Oţelul: balanced profile (how Rui Pedro Viegas Silva Gomes Duarte plays)