Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 7
Farense 2–1 Feirense
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Estádio de São Luís, Faro
FarenseTeam 1571
FeirenseTeam 1488Match story
Farense · draw · FeirenseBefore kick-off: 49% · 27% · 24%
Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Gonçalo Silva 29'
- Sarpreet Singh 50'
- Jair Monteiro 80'
We gave Farense 49% to win: they did.
- 12'André Lopes 1524 −9*
Feirense:André Lopes 1524 −9* - Gonçalo Silva 1555 +1429'
Farense:Gonçalo Silva 1555 +14 - Sarpreet Singh 1557 +2050'
Farense:Sarpreet Singh 1557 +20 - Gonçalo Silva 1555 +1454'
Farense:Gonçalo Silva 1555 +14 - 56'Pedro Henrique de Oliveira da Silva 1281 for Henrique Pereira 1576 −12*
Feirense:Pedro Henrique de Oliveira da Silva 1281 for Henrique Pereira 1576 −12* - 56'Diogo Mendes 1510 for Luiz Gustavo 1489 −8*
Feirense:Diogo Mendes 1510 for Luiz Gustavo 1489 −8* - 56'Alexandre Guedes 1535 for Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves 1309 −8*
Feirense:Alexandre Guedes 1535 for Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves 1309 −8* - 68'Jair Monteiro 1268 for Antonio Leal Mateos 1408 −8*
Feirense:Jair Monteiro 1268 for Antonio Leal Mateos 1408 −8* - 68'Tiago Castro for Mohamed Diaby 1463 −10*
Feirense:Tiago Castro for Mohamed Diaby 1463 −10* - Derick Poloni 1509 for Nelson Oliveira 1751 +270'
Farense:Derick Poloni 1509 for Nelson Oliveira 1751 +2 - Gabriel Barbosa 1423 for Joao·Resende 1619 +1770'
Farense:Gabriel Barbosa 1423 for Joao·Resende 1619 +17 - Miguel menino 1749 for Mattheus de Andrade Gama Oliveira 1704 +879'
Farense:Miguel menino 1749 for Mattheus de Andrade Gama Oliveira 1704 +8 - Joseph N'Duquidi 1527 for Gonçalo Silva 1555 +1479'
Farense:Joseph N'Duquidi 1527 for Gonçalo Silva 1555 +14 - 80'Jair Monteiro 1268
Feirense:Jair Monteiro 1268 - Lucas Caetano D'Agrella 1470 for Sarpreet Singh 1557 +2090+2'
Farense:Lucas Caetano D'Agrella 1470 for Sarpreet Singh 1557 +20
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 49% · 27% · 24%(Farense · draw · Feirense)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Farense €358K, Feirense €313K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Farense
5th in Segunda Liga · 11 pts from 6
- 4 OctWChaves Liga Portugal 21605
- 13 SepDAVS Liga Portugal 21574
- 30 AugLSporting CP B Liga Portugal 21578
- 16 AugWFC Porto B Liga Portugal 21581
- 9 AugWTorreense Liga Portugal 21566
Feirense
18th in Segunda Liga · 1 pts from 6
- 5 SepLSporting CP B Liga Portugal 21455
- 30 AugLAVS Liga Portugal 21461
- 14 AugLAcademica Liga Portugal 21384
- 9 AugDFelgueiras 1932 Liga Portugal 21359
- 17 MayDUnião de Leiria Liga Portugal 21501
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 11 /6 | 55.3 | 18% | 58% | <1% | 1st |
| Feirense | 1 /6 | 33.4 | 0% | <1% | 70% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Farense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1537
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · low-volume
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.