Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 10
Farense vs Benfica B
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Farense host Benfica B on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Farense 50%, draw 27%, Benfica B 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Farense €351K, Benfica B €469K.
- Segunda Liga: Nélson Oliveira is the highest-rated forward (1751).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Farense goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Farense 1609 · Benfica B 1512
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Farense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1557
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Farense
3rd in Segunda Liga · 14 pts from 7
- 11 OctWFeirense Liga Portugal 21622
- 4 OctWChaves Liga Portugal 21605
- 13 SepDAVS Liga Portugal 21574
- 30 AugLSporting CP B Liga Portugal 21578
- 16 AugWFC Porto B Liga Portugal 21581
Benfica B
5th in Segunda Liga · 13 pts from 7
- 12 OctWFelgueiras 1932 Liga Portugal 21556
- 11 SepWAcademica Liga Portugal 21462
- 5 SepLTorreense Liga Portugal 21398
- 10 AugWLeixoes Liga Portugal 21540
- 15 MayLFC Porto B Liga Portugal 21547
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 14 /7 | 57.3 | 28% | 71% | <1% | 1st |
| Benfica B | 13 /7 | 49.0 | 4% | 23% | 4% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · low-volume
Coach DNA: balanced profile