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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

Famalicao 1–4 Alverca

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 19:15 UTC · Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicao

Famalicao crestFamalicaoTeam 1804
1–4
Full time
HT 1–1
Alverca crestAlvercaTeam 1686

Match story

Famalicao · draw · Alverca

Before kick-off: 50% · 28% · 22%

Live chances: Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Famalicao 50%, draw 28%, Alverca 22%2' · 0–0 · Famalicao 50%, draw 28%, Alverca 22%3' · 0–0 · Famalicao 50%, draw 28%, Alverca 22%4' · 0–0 · Famalicao 50%, draw 28%, Alverca 22%5' · 0–0 · Famalicao 50%, draw 28%, Alverca 22%6' · 0–0 · Famalicao 50%, draw 28%, Alverca 22%7' · 0–0 · Famalicao 50%, draw 29%, Alverca 22%8' · 0–0 · Famalicao 49%, draw 29%, Alverca 22%9' · 0–0 · Famalicao 49%, draw 29%, Alverca 22%10' · 0–0 · Famalicao 49%, draw 29%, Alverca 22%11' · 0–0 · Famalicao 49%, draw 29%, Alverca 22%12' · 0–0 · Famalicao 49%, draw 29%, Alverca 22%13' · 0–0 · Famalicao 48%, draw 30%, Alverca 22%14' · 0–0 · Famalicao 48%, draw 30%, Alverca 22%15' · 0–1 · Famalicao 28%, draw 28%, Alverca 45%16' · 0–1 · Famalicao 27%, draw 28%, Alverca 45%17' · 0–1 · Famalicao 27%, draw 28%, Alverca 45%18' · 0–1 · Famalicao 27%, draw 28%, Alverca 45%19' · 0–1 · Famalicao 27%, draw 28%, Alverca 46%20' · 0–1 · Famalicao 26%, draw 28%, Alverca 46%21' · 0–1 · Famalicao 26%, draw 28%, Alverca 46%22' · 0–1 · Famalicao 26%, draw 28%, Alverca 46%23' · 0–1 · Famalicao 25%, draw 28%, Alverca 47%24' · 0–1 · Famalicao 25%, draw 28%, Alverca 47%25' · 0–1 · Famalicao 25%, draw 28%, Alverca 47%26' · 0–1 · Famalicao 24%, draw 28%, Alverca 47%27' · 0–1 · Famalicao 24%, draw 28%, Alverca 48%28' · 0–1 · Famalicao 24%, draw 28%, Alverca 48%29' · 0–1 · Famalicao 24%, draw 28%, Alverca 48%30' · 0–1 · Famalicao 23%, draw 28%, Alverca 48%31' · 0–1 · Famalicao 23%, draw 28%, Alverca 49%32' · 0–1 · Famalicao 22%, draw 29%, Alverca 49%33' · 0–1 · Famalicao 22%, draw 29%, Alverca 49%34' · 0–1 · Famalicao 22%, draw 29%, Alverca 50%35' · 0–1 · Famalicao 21%, draw 29%, Alverca 50%36' · 0–1 · Famalicao 21%, draw 29%, Alverca 50%37' · 0–1 · Famalicao 21%, draw 29%, Alverca 51%38' · 0–1 · Famalicao 20%, draw 29%, Alverca 51%39' · 0–1 · Famalicao 20%, draw 29%, Alverca 51%40' · 1–1 · Famalicao 42%, draw 37%, Alverca 22%41' · 1–1 · Famalicao 42%, draw 37%, Alverca 21%42' · 1–1 · Famalicao 41%, draw 37%, Alverca 21%43' · 1–1 · Famalicao 41%, draw 38%, Alverca 21%44' · 1–1 · Famalicao 41%, draw 38%, Alverca 21%45' · 1–1 · Famalicao 40%, draw 38%, Alverca 21%45+1' · 1–1 · Famalicao 40%, draw 39%, Alverca 21%45+2' · 1–1 · Famalicao 40%, draw 39%, Alverca 21%45+3' · 1–1 · Famalicao 39%, draw 40%, Alverca 21%45+4' · 1–1 · Famalicao 39%, draw 40%, Alverca 21%HT · 1–1 · Famalicao 39%, draw 40%, Alverca 21%47' · 1–1 · Famalicao 39%, draw 40%, Alverca 21%48' · 1–1 · Famalicao 39%, draw 41%, Alverca 21%49' · 1–1 · Famalicao 38%, draw 41%, Alverca 21%50' · 1–1 · Famalicao 38%, draw 42%, Alverca 21%51' · 1–1 · Famalicao 37%, draw 42%, Alverca 20%52' · 1–1 · Famalicao 37%, draw 43%, Alverca 20%53' · 1–1 · Famalicao 36%, draw 43%, Alverca 20%54' · 1–1 · Famalicao 36%, draw 44%, Alverca 20%55' · 1–1 · Famalicao 35%, draw 45%, Alverca 20%56' · 1–1 · Famalicao 35%, draw 45%, Alverca 20%57' · 1–2 · Famalicao 12%, draw 28%, Alverca 60%58' · 1–2 · Famalicao 11%, draw 28%, Alverca 61%59' · 1–2 · Famalicao 11%, draw 27%, Alverca 62%60' · 1–2 · Famalicao 11%, draw 27%, Alverca 62%61' · 1–2 · Famalicao 10%, draw 27%, Alverca 63%62' · 1–2 · Famalicao 10%, draw 27%, Alverca 63%63' · 1–2 · Famalicao 9%, draw 27%, Alverca 64%64' · 1–2 · Famalicao 9%, draw 26%, Alverca 65%65' · 1–2 · Famalicao 9%, draw 26%, Alverca 65%66' · 1–2 · Famalicao 8%, draw 26%, Alverca 66%67' · 1–2 · Famalicao 8%, draw 26%, Alverca 67%68' · 1–2 · Famalicao 7%, draw 25%, Alverca 67%69' · 1–2 · Famalicao 7%, draw 25%, Alverca 68%70' · 1–2 · Famalicao 7%, draw 25%, Alverca 69%71' · 1–2 · Famalicao 6%, draw 24%, Alverca 70%72' · 1–2 · Famalicao 6%, draw 24%, Alverca 70%73' · 1–2 · Famalicao 6%, draw 23%, Alverca 71%74' · 1–2 · Famalicao 5%, draw 23%, Alverca 72%75' · 1–2 · Famalicao 5%, draw 22%, Alverca 73%76' · 1–2 · Famalicao 5%, draw 22%, Alverca 74%77' · 1–2 · Famalicao 4%, draw 21%, Alverca 74%78' · 1–3 · Famalicao 0%, draw 3%, Alverca 97%79' · 1–3 · Famalicao 0%, draw 2%, Alverca 97%80' · 1–3 · Famalicao 0%, draw 2%, Alverca 98%81' · 1–3 · Famalicao 0%, draw 2%, Alverca 98%82' · 1–3 · Famalicao 0%, draw 2%, Alverca 98%83' · 1–3 · Famalicao 0%, draw 2%, Alverca 98%84' · 1–3 · Famalicao 0%, draw 1%, Alverca 98%85' · 1–3 · Famalicao 0%, draw 1%, Alverca 99%86' · 1–4 · Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100%87' · 1–4 · Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100%88' · 1–4 · Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100%89' · 1–4 · Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100%90' · 1–4 · Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100%90+1' · 1–4 · Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100%90+2' · 1–4 · Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100%90+3' · 1–4 · Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100%90+4' · 1–4 · Famalicao 0%, draw 0%, Alverca 100%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Famalicao 50% to win: Alverca won.

  1. 11'Famalicao:Pedro Bondo Francisco 1631 −8*
  2. 13'Famalicao:Víctor Rofino Gordo 1705 −8*
  3. 14'Alverca:Francisco Chiquinho 1925 +57*
  4. 20'Famalicao:Leonardo Realpe 1851 −12* for Matheus Mattara Colombo 1501 −8*
  5. 34'Alverca:Francisco Chissumba 1970 +12*
  6. 37'Famalicao:Mathias De Amorim 1910 −24*
  7. 39'Famalicao:Víctor Rofino Gordo 1705 −8* assist Marcos Peña 1722 −8*
  8. 45+2'Alverca:Diogo Spencer 1688 +50*
  9. 56'Alverca:Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos 1927 +56* assist Diogo Spencer 1688 +50*
  10. 65'Famalicao:Tom Van De Looi 1890 −11* for Tamás Szűcs 1673 0
  11. 65'Famalicao:Patricio Salas 1679 −8* for Pedro Bondo Francisco 1631 −8*
  12. 65'Famalicao:Pedro Santos 1682 −8* for Marcos Peña 1722 −8*
  13. 66'Alverca:André Vidigal 1701 +29* for Dawda Camara Sankharé 1725 +30*
  14. 66'Alverca:Zé Rafael 1719 0* for Davy Gui 1539 +50*
  15. 74'Alverca:Matheus Franca 1774 0* for Francisco Chiquinho 1925 +57*
  16. 74'Alverca:Vivaldo Semedo 1724 +15* for Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos 1927 +56*
  17. 77'Alverca:Vivaldo Semedo 1724 +15* assist Mateus Oliveira Mendes 1932 +74*
  18. 78'Famalicao:Umar Abubakar 1537 −8* for Georgios Koutsias 1872 −16*
  19. 80'Alverca:E. Jemide for Isaac James 1650 +48*
  20. 85'Alverca:André Vidigal 1701 +29* (pen.)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-3
GL. Carević1911−24*
DRodrigo Pinheiro1953−31*
DVíctor Rofino1705−8*
DM. Mattara1501−8*
DPedro Francisco1631−8*
MMarcos Peña1722−8*
MTamás Szücs16730
MGil Dias1874−20*
MMathias De Amorim1910−24*
MSorriso1930−27*
FG. Koutsias1872−16*
CCarlos Carvalhal1946−53*
GMatheus Mendes1932+74*
DS. Baseya1672+53*
DSergi Gómez1828+24*
DI. James1650+48*
MDiogo Filipe Spencer Marques1688+50*
MD. Gui1539+50*
MRayan1690+50*
MFrancisco Chissumba1970+12*
FFigueiredo1927+56*
FD. Camara1725+30*
FChiquinho1925+57*
CSérgio Ferreira1687+113*
Before kick-off: 50% · 28% · 22%(Famalicao · draw · Alverca)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–4 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Famalicao €2.1M, Alverca €1.3M.
  • Only 2 of Alverca's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Famalicao

13th in Primeira Liga · 7 pts from 7

  • 19 SepWNacional 1797
  • 13 SepDSporting CP 1787
  • 5 SepDEstrela 1786
  • 30 AugDGIL Vicente 1826
  • 23 AugLSanta Clara 1852

Alverca

10th in Primeira Liga · 8 pts from 7

  • 19 SepWRio Ave 1685
  • 12 SepWNacional 1633
  • 5 SepLSC Braga 1680
  • 29 AugDSanta Clara 1673
  • 22 AugLSporting CP 1644

Season outlook

From the Primeira Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Famalicao7 /744.00%4%3%6th
Alverca8 /739.80%1%10%11th
Famalicao
Alverca

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primeira Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sorriso
Sorriso

Famalicao · +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1957

Chiquinho
Chiquinho

Alverca · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1869

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal

Coach DNA: possession-based

Sergio Ferreira

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Famalicao: balanced profile (how Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal plays) · Alverca: balanced profile (how Sergio Ferreira plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.