Premiership · Regular Season - 14
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Falkirk host ST Johnstone on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Falkirk 45%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Falkirk €405K, ST Johnstone €428K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Premiership): Falkirk rank #4 of 12, ST Johnstone #11.
- Falkirk have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Falkirk goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–07%
- 0–17%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
Team Elo: Falkirk 1688 · ST Johnstone 1661
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Falkirk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1739
ST Johnstone · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1741
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Falkirk
3rd in Premiership · 21 pts from 13
- 8 NovWHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1711
- 1 NovWCeltic Scotland Premiership1672
- 28 OctWAberdeen Scotland Premiership1672
- 24 OctWKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1631
- 17 OctWHibernian Scotland Premiership1578
ST Johnstone
7th in Premiership · 17 pts from 13
- 7 NovWDundee Scotland Premiership1632
- 31 OctDKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1626
- 28 OctDMotherwell Scotland Premiership1631
- 24 OctLRangers Scotland Premiership1665
- 17 OctDDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1643
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 21 /13 | 46.8 | 0% | 50% | 3% | 3rd |
| ST Johnstone | 17 /13 | 40.5 | 0% | 11% | 21% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Falkirk: balanced profile (how John McGlynn plays) · ST Johnstone: low-volume (how S. Valakari plays)