Premiership · Regular Season - 12
Falkirk vs Celtic
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Falkirk host Celtic on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Falkirk 12%, draw 19%, Celtic 69%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Falkirk €379K, Celtic €3.5M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premiership matchday 12: 516 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Premiership average of 26% this round.
- Premiership: V. Sinisalo is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2160).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premiership): Falkirk rank #1 of 12, Celtic #12.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Falkirk goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–210%
- 1–19%
- 0–39%
- 0–18%
- 1–38%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 1.1 pts
Team Elo: Falkirk 1579 · Celtic 2095
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Falkirk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1655
Celtic · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2104
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Falkirk
9th in Premiership · 9 pts from 9
- 17 OctWHibernian Scotland Premiership1586
- 10 OctLDundee Scotland Premiership1621
- 19 SepDST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1611
- 15 SepWHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1584
- 5 SepDDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1579
Celtic
1st in Premiership · 24 pts from 9
- 18 OctWHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership2005
- 15 OctLBenfica UEFA Europa League2055
- 11 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership2070
- 20 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership2106
- 17 SepLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League2024
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 9 /9 | 33.8 | 0% | 2% | 64% | 12th |
| Celtic | 24 /9 | 77.3 | 89% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Falkirk: balanced profile (how John McGlynn plays) · Celtic: possession-based · creative (how Martin Hugh Michael O'Neill plays)