Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Fakel 0–5 Lokomotiv
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 12:15 UTC · Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
FakelTeam 1501
LokomotivTeam 1722Match story
Fakel · draw · LokomotivBefore kick-off: 27% · 29% · 44%
Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Nikolay Titkov 25'
- Nikolay Komlichenko 32', 74'
- César Montes 49'
- Egor Pogostnov 64'
We gave Lokomotiv 44% to win: they did.
- 25'Nikolay Titkov 1941 +36* assist Sergey Pinyaev 1862 +40*
Lokomotiv:Nikolay Titkov 1941 +36* assist Sergey Pinyaev 1862 +40* - 28'Danila Godyaev 1455 +25*
Lokomotiv:Danila Godyaev 1455 +25* - 32'Nikolay Komlichenko 1812 +57* assist Zelimkhan Bakaev 1793 +47*
Lokomotiv:Nikolay Komlichenko 1812 +57* assist Zelimkhan Bakaev 1793 +47* - 36'Egor Pogostnov 1827 +57*
Lokomotiv:Egor Pogostnov 1827 +57* - Aleksandr Koksharov 1330 −8* for Anton Kovalev 1475 045'
Fakel:Aleksandr Koksharov 1330 −8* for Anton Kovalev 1475 0 - 49'César Montes 2049 +17* assist Aleksandr Rudenko 1901 +39*
Lokomotiv:César Montes 2049 +17* assist Aleksandr Rudenko 1901 +39* - 62'Lucas Fasson 1889 +7* for Danila Godyaev 1455 +25*
Lokomotiv:Lucas Fasson 1889 +7* for Danila Godyaev 1455 +25* - 64'Egor Pogostnov 1827 +57* assist Sergey Pinyaev 1862 +40*
Lokomotiv:Egor Pogostnov 1827 +57* assist Sergey Pinyaev 1862 +40* - Ravil Netfullin 1509 −13* for Aleksey Sutormin 1540 −12*68'
Fakel:Ravil Netfullin 1509 −13* for Aleksey Sutormin 1540 −12* - Ilnur Alshin 1482 −13* for Abdula Bagamaev 1543 −8*68'
Fakel:Ilnur Alshin 1482 −13* for Abdula Bagamaev 1543 −8* - Belajdi Pusi 1550 −9* for Maksim Turishchev 1450 −8*68'
Fakel:Belajdi Pusi 1550 −9* for Maksim Turishchev 1450 −8* - 74'Nikolay Komlichenko 1812 +57* assist Zelimkhan Bakaev 1793 +47*
Lokomotiv:Nikolay Komlichenko 1812 +57* assist Zelimkhan Bakaev 1793 +47* - 75'Vadim Rakov 1646 −2* for Zelimkhan Bakaev 1793 +47*
Lokomotiv:Vadim Rakov 1646 −2* for Zelimkhan Bakaev 1793 +47* - 75'Ilya Eremeev 1613 +8* for Sergey Pinyaev 1862 +40*
Lokomotiv:Ilya Eremeev 1613 +8* for Sergey Pinyaev 1862 +40* - 85'Mikhail Shchetinin 1402 0* for Aleksandr Rudenko 1901 +39*
Lokomotiv:Mikhail Shchetinin 1402 0* for Aleksandr Rudenko 1901 +39* - 86'Aleksandr Kovalenko 1510 −6* for Sergey Babkin 1747 +18*
Lokomotiv:Aleksandr Kovalenko 1510 −6* for Sergey Babkin 1747 +18*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 27% · 29% · 44%(Fakel · draw · Lokomotiv)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–5 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Fakel €561K, Lokomotiv €2.0M.
- Fakel were without 1 expected starter: M. Bardachev (1610).
- Lokomotiv were without 1 expected starter: Lucas Fasson (1881).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fakel
16th in Premier Liga · 3 pts from 9
- 16 SepLSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1541
- 12 SepDBaltika Russia Premier League1532
- 5 SepLFC Rostov Russia Premier League1565
- 29 AugLZenit Russia Premier League1563
- 22 AugDFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1565
Lokomotiv
14th in Premier Liga · 7 pts from 9
- 16 SepDKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League1814
- 12 SepLZenit Russia Premier League1815
- 6 SepWBaltika Russia Premier League1823
- 29 AugLDynamo Russia Premier League1751
- 22 AugLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1739
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel | 3 /9 | 20.8 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 16th |
| Lokomotiv | 7 /9 | 37.1 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Fakel · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1765

Lokomotiv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2032
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fakel: direct · low-volume (how Oleg Vasilenko plays) · Lokomotiv: balanced profile (how Mikhail Galaktionov plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.