Premier League · Regular Season - 14
Fakel vs Dynamo
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
Fakel host Dynamo on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fakel 17%, draw 23%, Dynamo 60%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fakel €550K, Dynamo €4.3M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Liga matchday 14: 408 points.
- Style contrast in attacking (Premier Liga): Fakel rank #15 of 15, Dynamo #1.
- Fakel's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
- Dynamo have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fakel goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Fakel 1561 · Dynamo 1969
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fakel · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1576
Dynamo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1987
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fakel
15th in Premier Liga · 6 pts from 11
- 17 OctWKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League1546
- 10 OctLLokomotiv Russia Premier League1545
- 16 SepLSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1541
- 12 SepDBaltika Russia Premier League1532
- 5 SepLFC Rostov Russia Premier League1565
Dynamo
1st in Premier Liga · 25 pts from 11
- 18 OctWCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1989
- 11 OctWRubin Russia Premier League2003
- 17 SepWFC Rostov Russia Premier League1981
- 12 SepWFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1953
- 6 SepWSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1951
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel | 6 /11 | 22.7 | 0% | 0% | 88% | 16th |
| Dynamo | 25 /11 | 59.3 | 15% | 90% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fakel: direct · low-volume (how Oleg Vasilenko plays) · Dynamo: shot-heavy · creative (how Sandro Schwarz plays)