Süper Lig · Regular Season - 11
Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Eyüpspor host Kocaelispor on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Eyüpspor 31%, draw 29%, Kocaelispor 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Eyüpspor €584K, Kocaelispor €1.3M.
- Eyüpspor's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Eyüpspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Eyüpspor 1695 · Kocaelispor 1847
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Eyüpspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1722
Kocaelispor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2106
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Eyüpspor
18th in Süper Lig · 3 pts from 8
- 17 OctLErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1677
- 12 OctLGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1688
- 20 SepLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1666
- 12 SepLRizespor Turkey Super Lig1664
- 6 SepLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1674
Kocaelispor
8th in Süper Lig · 12 pts from 8
- 18 OctLGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1831
- 11 OctLBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1797
- 19 SepWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1806
- 13 SepLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1848
- 6 SepWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1829
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eyüpspor | 3 /8 | 25.3 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 18th |
| Kocaelispor | 12 /8 | 43.1 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Eyüpspor: balanced profile (how Mustafa Dalcı plays) · Kocaelispor: balanced profile (how Selçuk İnan plays)