Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9
Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Eyüpspor host Kasımpaşa on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Eyüpspor 31%, draw 29%, Kasımpaşa 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Eyüpspor €600K, Kasımpaşa €1.5M.
- Eyüpspor's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Eyüpspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Eyüpspor 1687 · Kasımpaşa 1845
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Eyüpspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1722
Kasımpaşa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2027
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Eyüpspor
18th in Süper Lig · 3 pts from 8
- 17 OctLErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1677
- 12 OctLGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1688
- 20 SepLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1666
- 12 SepLRizespor Turkey Super Lig1664
- 6 SepLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1674
Kasımpaşa
7th in Süper Lig · 13 pts from 8
- 18 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1835
- 9 OctLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1847
- 18 SepDKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1792
- 13 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1765
- 6 SepDAmed Turkey Super Lig1825
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eyüpspor | 3 /8 | 24.9 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 18th |
| Kasımpaşa | 13 /8 | 44.7 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Eyüpspor: balanced profile (how Mustafa Dalcı plays) · Kasımpaşa: balanced profile (how Emre Belözoğlu plays)