Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
Excelsior vs Twente
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Excelsior host Twente on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Excelsior 21%, draw 26%, Twente 53%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Excelsior €996K, Twente €3.4M.
- Twente's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Excelsior goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–210%
- 0–07%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Excelsior 1716 · Twente 2005
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Excelsior · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1829
Twente · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2121
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Excelsior
10th in Eredivisie · 11 pts from 9
- 16 OctLHeerenveen Eredivisie1760
- 11 OctLGroningen Eredivisie1781
- 19 SepDAjax Eredivisie1766
- 13 SepLUtrecht Eredivisie1771
- 8 SepDNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1730
Twente
5th in Eredivisie · 17 pts from 9
- 18 OctLUtrecht Eredivisie2056
- 15 OctWFC Thun UEFA Conference League2036
- 10 OctDFortuna Sittard Eredivisie2033
- 20 SepWPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie1981
- 12 SepWADO Den Haag Eredivisie1995
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 11 /9 | 37.4 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 13th |
| Twente | 17 /9 | 59.1 | 1% | 34% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Excelsior: balanced profile (how Ruben den Uil plays) · Twente: balanced profile (how John Antonius van den Brom plays)