Eredivisie · Regular Season - 12
Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Excelsior host GO Ahead Eagles on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Excelsior 39%, draw 29%, GO Ahead Eagles 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Excelsior €906K, GO Ahead Eagles €1.1M.
- Home advantage makes Excelsior the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Excelsior goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Excelsior 1726 · GO Ahead Eagles 1747
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Excelsior · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1829
GO Ahead Eagles · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1848
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Excelsior
10th in Eredivisie · 11 pts from 9
- 16 OctLHeerenveen Eredivisie1760
- 11 OctLGroningen Eredivisie1781
- 19 SepDAjax Eredivisie1766
- 13 SepLUtrecht Eredivisie1771
- 8 SepDNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1730
GO Ahead Eagles
9th in Eredivisie · 11 pts from 9
- 18 OctLPEC Zwolle Eredivisie1822
- 10 OctDSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie1833
- 20 SepDNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1840
- 12 SepDGroningen Eredivisie1841
- 8 SepDUtrecht Eredivisie1845
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 11 /9 | 38.3 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 12th |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 11 /9 | 38.6 | 0% | 0% | 12% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Excelsior: balanced profile (how R. den Uil plays) · GO Ahead Eagles: low-block (how Joseph Oosting plays)