Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Everton vs Coventry
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Everton host Coventry on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Everton 57%, draw 25%, Coventry 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Everton €24.7M, Coventry €8.9M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premier League): Everton rank #1 of 20, Coventry #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Everton goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.3 pts
Team Elo: Everton 2283 · Coventry 2097
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Everton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2380
Coventry · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 2127
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Everton
8th in Premier League · 10 pts from 7
- 17 OctLChelsea Premier League2322
- 11 OctDHull City Premier League2326
- 19 SepWIpswich Premier League2328
- 16 SepWWolves England League Cup2272
- 12 SepDTottenham Premier League2271
Coventry
17th in Premier League · 6 pts from 7
- 19 OctLTottenham Premier League2115
- 12 OctWNewcastle Premier League2074
- 19 SepWNottingham Forest Premier League2026
- 16 SepLAston Villa England League Cup1973
- 13 SepLBrighton Premier League2101
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 10 /7 | 49.9 | 0% | 4% | 3% | 10th |
| Coventry | 6 /7 | 34.7 | 0% | 0% | 66% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Everton: direct (how D. Moyes plays) · Coventry: balanced profile (how F. Lampard plays)