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Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Everton 0–2 Chelsea

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Everton crestEvertonTeam 2259
0–2
Full time
HT 0–0
Chelsea crestChelseaTeam 2368

Match story

Everton · draw · Chelsea

Before kick-off: 33% · 28% · 39%

Live chances: Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100% at 90+14'1' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 28%, Chelsea 39%2' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 28%, Chelsea 39%3' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 28%, Chelsea 39%4' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 28%, Chelsea 39%5' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 28%, Chelsea 38%6' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 28%, Chelsea 38%7' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 28%, Chelsea 38%8' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 28%, Chelsea 38%9' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 29%, Chelsea 38%10' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 29%, Chelsea 38%11' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 29%, Chelsea 38%12' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 29%, Chelsea 38%13' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 29%, Chelsea 38%14' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 29%, Chelsea 38%15' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 29%, Chelsea 38%16' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 30%, Chelsea 38%17' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 30%, Chelsea 38%18' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 30%, Chelsea 37%19' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 30%, Chelsea 37%20' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 30%, Chelsea 37%21' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 30%, Chelsea 37%22' · 0–0 · Everton 33%, draw 30%, Chelsea 37%23' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 31%, Chelsea 37%24' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 31%, Chelsea 37%25' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 31%, Chelsea 37%26' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 31%, Chelsea 37%27' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 31%, Chelsea 37%28' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 31%, Chelsea 36%29' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 32%, Chelsea 36%30' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 32%, Chelsea 36%31' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 32%, Chelsea 36%32' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 32%, Chelsea 36%33' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 33%, Chelsea 36%34' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 33%, Chelsea 36%35' · 0–0 · Everton 32%, draw 33%, Chelsea 36%36' · 0–0 · Everton 31%, draw 33%, Chelsea 35%37' · 0–0 · Everton 31%, draw 33%, Chelsea 35%38' · 0–0 · Everton 31%, draw 34%, Chelsea 35%39' · 0–0 · Everton 31%, draw 34%, Chelsea 35%40' · 0–0 · Everton 31%, draw 34%, Chelsea 35%41' · 0–0 · Everton 31%, draw 35%, Chelsea 35%42' · 0–0 · Everton 31%, draw 35%, Chelsea 34%43' · 0–0 · Everton 31%, draw 35%, Chelsea 34%44' · 0–0 · Everton 31%, draw 35%, Chelsea 34%45' · 0–0 · Everton 30%, draw 36%, Chelsea 34%45+1' · 0–0 · Everton 30%, draw 36%, Chelsea 34%45+2' · 0–0 · Everton 30%, draw 36%, Chelsea 34%45+3' · 0–0 · Everton 30%, draw 37%, Chelsea 33%HT · 0–0 · Everton 30%, draw 37%, Chelsea 33%47' · 0–1 · Everton 12%, draw 24%, Chelsea 64%48' · 0–1 · Everton 12%, draw 24%, Chelsea 64%49' · 0–1 · Everton 11%, draw 24%, Chelsea 64%50' · 0–1 · Everton 11%, draw 24%, Chelsea 64%51' · 0–1 · Everton 11%, draw 24%, Chelsea 65%52' · 0–1 · Everton 11%, draw 24%, Chelsea 65%53' · 0–1 · Everton 10%, draw 24%, Chelsea 65%54' · 0–1 · Everton 10%, draw 24%, Chelsea 66%55' · 0–1 · Everton 10%, draw 24%, Chelsea 66%56' · 0–1 · Everton 10%, draw 24%, Chelsea 66%57' · 0–1 · Everton 9%, draw 24%, Chelsea 67%58' · 0–1 · Everton 9%, draw 24%, Chelsea 67%59' · 0–1 · Everton 9%, draw 24%, Chelsea 68%60' · 0–1 · Everton 8%, draw 24%, Chelsea 68%61' · 0–1 · Everton 8%, draw 24%, Chelsea 68%62' · 0–1 · Everton 8%, draw 23%, Chelsea 69%63' · 0–1 · Everton 8%, draw 23%, Chelsea 69%64' · 0–1 · Everton 7%, draw 23%, Chelsea 70%65' · 0–1 · Everton 7%, draw 23%, Chelsea 70%66' · 0–1 · Everton 7%, draw 23%, Chelsea 70%67' · 0–1 · Everton 6%, draw 23%, Chelsea 71%68' · 0–1 · Everton 6%, draw 22%, Chelsea 71%69' · 0–1 · Everton 6%, draw 22%, Chelsea 72%70' · 0–1 · Everton 6%, draw 22%, Chelsea 72%71' · 0–1 · Everton 5%, draw 22%, Chelsea 73%72' · 0–1 · Everton 5%, draw 21%, Chelsea 73%73' · 0–1 · Everton 5%, draw 21%, Chelsea 74%74' · 0–1 · Everton 5%, draw 21%, Chelsea 75%75' · 0–1 · Everton 4%, draw 20%, Chelsea 75%76' · 0–1 · Everton 4%, draw 20%, Chelsea 76%77' · 0–1 · Everton 4%, draw 20%, Chelsea 77%78' · 0–1 · Everton 3%, draw 19%, Chelsea 77%79' · 0–1 · Everton 3%, draw 19%, Chelsea 78%80' · 0–1 · Everton 3%, draw 18%, Chelsea 79%81' · 0–1 · Everton 3%, draw 18%, Chelsea 80%82' · 0–1 · Everton 2%, draw 17%, Chelsea 81%83' · 0–1 · Everton 2%, draw 16%, Chelsea 81%84' · 0–1 · Everton 2%, draw 16%, Chelsea 82%85' · 0–1 · Everton 2%, draw 15%, Chelsea 83%86' · 0–1 · Everton 1%, draw 14%, Chelsea 84%87' · 0–1 · Everton 1%, draw 13%, Chelsea 85%88' · 0–1 · Everton 1%, draw 12%, Chelsea 87%89' · 0–1 · Everton 1%, draw 11%, Chelsea 88%90' · 0–1 · Everton 1%, draw 10%, Chelsea 89%90+1' · 0–1 · Everton 0%, draw 9%, Chelsea 91%90+2' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+3' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+4' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+5' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+6' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+7' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+8' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+9' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+10' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+11' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+12' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+13' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%90+14' · 0–2 · Everton 0%, draw 0%, Chelsea 100%

Last reading, 90+14': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Chelsea 39% to win: they did.

  1. 23'Everton:Harrison Armstrong 2175 0
  2. 27'Chelsea:Pedro Neto 2516 +28
  3. 32'Chelsea:Josh Acheampong 2316 +45
  4. 34'Everton:James Tarkowski 2327 −9
  5. 34'Chelsea:Morgan Rogers 2537 +8
  6. 46'Chelsea:Pedro Neto 2516 +28
  7. 55'Everton:Tyrique George 1868 0 for Ainsley Maitland-Niles 2236 −2
  8. 65'Chelsea:Cole Palmer 2472 +29
  9. 75'Chelsea:Mike Penders 2219 +1* for Emiliano Martínez 2458 +22
  10. 85'Everton:Christian Nørgaard 2127 −12* for Harrison Armstrong 2175 0
  11. 85'Everton:Brennan Johnson 2235 0 for Jack Grealish 2381 −10
  12. 89'Everton:Christian Nørgaard 2127 −12*
  13. 90'Chelsea:Pedro Neto 2516 +28
  14. 90+2'Chelsea:Danny Welbeck 2216 −8 for João Pedro 2442 +11
  15. 90+2'Chelsea:Marco Palestra 2038 0 for Jorrel Hato 2396 +36
  16. 90+2'Chelsea:Romeo Lavia 2164 0 for Moises Caicedo 2447 +31
  17. 90+12'Chelsea:Geovany Quenda 2266 −7* for Pedro Neto 2516 +28

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-2-1
GJ. Pickford2485−15
DA. Maitland-Niles2236−2
DJ. Tarkowski2327−9
DJ. Branthwaite2327−3
DV. Mykolenko2421−37*
MJ. Garner2380−7
MH. Armstrong21750
MM. Röhl2045−8*
MK. Dewsbury-Hall2390−8
MJ. Grealish2381−10
FT. Barry2366−6
CD. Moyes2356−10
GE. Martínez2458+22
DJoshua Kofi Acheampong2316+45
DM. Lacroix2479+28
DL. Colwill2468+29
MPedro Neto2516+28
MJ. Henderson2009+72
MM. Caicedo2447+31
MJ. Hato2396+36
MC. Palmer2472+29
MM. Rogers2537+8
FJoão Pedro2442+11
CXabi Alonso2467+20
Before kick-off: 33% · 28% · 39%(Everton · draw · Chelsea)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Everton €24.1M, Chelsea €45.7M.
  • Style contrast in possession (Premier League): Everton ranked #20 of 20, Chelsea #2.
  • Everton were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Everton

5th in Premier League · 10 pts from 6

  • 11 OctDHull City 2326
  • 19 SepWIpswich 2328
  • 16 SepWWolves 2272
  • 12 SepDTottenham 2271
  • 6 SepDManchester United 2259

Chelsea

6th in Premier League · 10 pts from 6

  • 10 OctWBournemouth 2347
  • 18 SepLBrentford 2327
  • 12 SepDHull City 2404
  • 9 SepWLeeds 2285
  • 6 SepLArsenal 2388

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Everton10 /652.20%9%2%10th
Chelsea10 /659.4<1%38%<1%3rd
Everton
Chelsea

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Garner
J. Garner

Everton · +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2386

E. Martínez
E. Martínez

Chelsea · +3.2 (Good) · Elo 2436

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

David William Moyes

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Xabier Alonso Olano

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Everton: direct (how David William Moyes plays) · Chelsea: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Xabier Alonso Olano plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.