Primera División · Regular Season - 24
Everton de Vina 3–2 D. La Serena
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Sausalito, Vina del Mar
Everton de VinaTeam 1629
D. La SerenaTeam 1548Match story
Everton de Vina · draw · D. La SerenaBefore kick-off: 44% · 29% · 27%
Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Julian Alfaro 28'
- Braian Aaron Martínez 78' (pen)
- Alan Medina 89' (pen)
- Felipe Chamorro 10'
- Matías Marín 56'
We gave Everton de Vina 44% to win: they did.
- 10'Felipe Chamorro 1591 −13*
D. La Serena:Felipe Chamorro 1591 −13* - 14'Felipe Chamorro 1591 −13*
D. La Serena:Felipe Chamorro 1591 −13* - Julian Alfaro 1579 +35* assist Benjamín Berríos 1683 +15*28'
Everton de Vina:Julian Alfaro 1579 +35* assist Benjamín Berríos 1683 +15* - 32'Felipe Alejandro Gutiérrez Leiva
D. La Serena:Felipe Alejandro Gutiérrez Leiva - Nicolás Baeza 1660 −1*33'
Everton de Vina:Nicolás Baeza 1660 −1* - 37'F. Dinamarca 1554 −13*
D. La Serena:F. Dinamarca 1554 −13* - 47'Lucas Alarcon 1566 −15*
D. La Serena:Lucas Alarcon 1566 −15* - 54'Gonzalo Escalante 1544 −15* for Felipe Chamorro 1591 −13*
D. La Serena:Gonzalo Escalante 1544 −15* for Felipe Chamorro 1591 −13* - 56'Matías Marín 1542 −21* assist G. Figueroa 1362 −8*
D. La Serena:Matías Marín 1542 −21* assist G. Figueroa 1362 −8* - 63'Bruno Gutierrez 1615 −20*
D. La Serena:Bruno Gutierrez 1615 −20* - 66'Diego Rubio 1588 −15* for Jeisson Vargas 1629 −18*
D. La Serena:Diego Rubio 1588 −15* for Jeisson Vargas 1629 −18* - Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda 1559 −4* for Cristian Palacios 1426 +3*69'
Everton de Vina:Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda 1559 −4* for Cristian Palacios 1426 +3* - Braian Aaron Martínez 1618 −1* for Emiliano Ramos 1602 +2*69'
Everton de Vina:Braian Aaron Martínez 1618 −1* for Emiliano Ramos 1602 +2* - Braian Aaron Martínez 1618 −1* (pen.)78'
Everton de Vina:Braian Aaron Martínez 1618 −1* (pen.) - Vicente Fernández 1595 −7* for Nicolás Baeza 1660 −1*81'
Everton de Vina:Vicente Fernández 1595 −7* for Nicolás Baeza 1660 −1* - 82'Alexander Oroz 1496 −8* for G. Figueroa 1362 −8*
D. La Serena:Alexander Oroz 1496 −8* for G. Figueroa 1362 −8* - 82'Sebastián Díaz – for Matías Marín 1542 −21*
D. La Serena:Sebastián Díaz – for Matías Marín 1542 −21* - Lucas Soto 1651 +2*83'
Everton de Vina:Lucas Soto 1651 +2* - Gustavo Charrupi 1593 −7* for Valentin Vidal 1653 +11*86'
Everton de Vina:Gustavo Charrupi 1593 −7* for Valentin Vidal 1653 +11* - Óscar Opazo 1583 −15* for Lucas Soto 1651 +2*86'
Everton de Vina:Óscar Opazo 1583 −15* for Lucas Soto 1651 +2* - Alan Medina 1688 +14* (pen.)89'
Everton de Vina:Alan Medina 1688 +14* (pen.) - 90+1'Franco ian rasso 1569 −15*
D. La Serena:Franco ian rasso 1569 −15* - Ignacio González 1565 +3*90+1'
Everton de Vina:Ignacio González 1565 +3*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 44% · 29% · 27%(Everton de Vina · draw · D. La Serena)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–2 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Everton de Vina €367K, D. La Serena €321K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Everton de Vina
4th in Primera División · 36 pts from 23
- 12 SepWNublense Chile Primera Division1605
- 5 SepLU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1621
- 29 AugWDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1588
- 24 AugWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1565
- 16 AugDA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1568
D. La Serena
10th in Primera División · 30 pts from 23
- 13 SepLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1581
- 6 SepWNublense Chile Primera Division1563
- 31 AugWUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1544
- 23 AugDCobresal Chile Primera Division1551
- 14 AugWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1534
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton de Vina | 36 /23 | 45.3 | 0% | 45% | 0% | 4th |
| D. La Serena | 30 /23 | 38.4 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Everton de Vina · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1675

D. La Serena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1563
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Everton de Vina: balanced profile (how Walter Darío Ribonetto plays) · D. La Serena: dribble-heavy (how Francisco Andrés Bozán Santibáñez plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.