Primera División · Regular Season - 27
Everton de Vina vs Concepción
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
Everton de Vina host Concepción on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Everton de Vina 42%, draw 29%, Concepción 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Everton de Vina €370K, Concepción €252K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Everton de Vina goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Everton de Vina 1617 · Concepción 1569
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Everton de Vina · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1688
Concepción · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.2 (Elite) · Elo 1668
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Everton de Vina
4th in Primera División · 39 pts from 24
- 11 OctWD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1612
- 12 SepWNublense Chile Primera Division1605
- 5 SepLU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1621
- 29 AugWDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1588
- 24 AugWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1565
Concepción
8th in Primera División · 32 pts from 24
- 11 OctDUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1592
- 13 SepDColo Colo Chile Primera Division1553
- 5 SepLA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1561
- 30 AugWNublense Chile Primera Division1588
- 23 AugDCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1573
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton de Vina | 39 /24 | 46.9 | 0% | 63% | 0% | 4th |
| Concepción | 32 /24 | 39.5 | 0% | 2% | 1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Everton de Vina: balanced profile (how W. Ribonetto plays) · Concepción: balanced profile (how Patricio Almendra plays)