Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13
Estudiantes L.P. 1–2 San Lorenzo
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Estudiantes L.P.Team 1823San LorenzoTeam 1698- Edwuin Cetre 14' (pen)
- Guzman corujo 44'
- Facundo Gulli 90+5'
We gave Estudiantes L.P. 53% to win: San Lorenzo won.
- 12'José Devecchi –San Lorenzo:José Devecchi –
- Edwuin Cetre – (pen.)14'Estudiantes L.P.:Edwuin Cetre – (pen.)
- Gastón Benedetti –30'Estudiantes L.P.:Gastón Benedetti –
- Miguel Monsalve –32'Estudiantes L.P.:Miguel Monsalve –
- 36'Guzman corujo –San Lorenzo:Guzman corujo –
- 44'Guzman corujo – assist Agustín Ladstatter –San Lorenzo:Guzman corujo – assist Agustín Ladstatter –
- 58'Enzo Alan Salas for Agustín Ladstatter –San Lorenzo:Enzo Alan Salas for Agustín Ladstatter –
- Tiago Palacios – for Joaquín Correa –60'Estudiantes L.P.:Tiago Palacios – for Joaquín Correa –
- Eros Nazareno Mancuso – for Tiago Tomas Palacios –60'Estudiantes L.P.:Eros Nazareno Mancuso – for Tiago Tomas Palacios –
- Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez – for José Sosa –61'Estudiantes L.P.:Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez – for José Sosa –
- Guido Carrillo – for Miguel Monsalve –72'Estudiantes L.P.:Guido Carrillo – for Miguel Monsalve –
- Bautista Kociubinski –75'Estudiantes L.P.:Bautista Kociubinski –
- Guido Carrillo –77'Estudiantes L.P.:Guido Carrillo –
- Adolfo Gaich – for Lucas Alario –80'Estudiantes L.P.:Adolfo Gaich – for Lucas Alario –
- 81'Martín Rio – for Facundo Farías –San Lorenzo:Martín Rio – for Facundo Farías –
- 83'Martín Rio –San Lorenzo:Martín Rio –
- Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez –83'Estudiantes L.P.:Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez –
- 87'Gustavo Del Prete – for Rodrigo Auzmendi –San Lorenzo:Gustavo Del Prete – for Rodrigo Auzmendi –
- 90+5'Facundo Gulli – assist Enzo Alan SalasSan Lorenzo:Facundo Gulli – assist Enzo Alan Salas
Before kick-off (provisional): 53% · 26% · 21%(Estudiantes L.P. · draw · San Lorenzo)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–2 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Estudiantes L.P. €1.5M, San Lorenzo €802K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Liga Profesional): Estudiantes L.P. ranked #3 of 30, San Lorenzo #27.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Estudiantes L.P.
1st in Liga Profesional · 31 pts from 16
- 16 OctDFlamengo Copa Libertadores1840
- 10 OctDCentral Cordoba de Santiago Argentina Liga Profesional1792
- 5 OctWGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1858
- 22 SepLLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1844
- 17 SepWCorinthians Copa Libertadores1844
San Lorenzo
7th in Liga Profesional · 22 pts from 16
- 11 OctWDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1637
- 3 OctLDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1679
- 20 SepLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1721
- 13 SepDIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1706
- 5 SepWTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1708
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P. | 31 /16 | 37.5 | 28% | 85% | 0% | 1st |
| San Lorenzo | 22 /16 | 27.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Estudiantes L.P. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1780
San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1745
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Estudiantes L.P.: possession-based (how Alexander Jesús Medina Reobasco plays) · San Lorenzo: balanced profile (how Rubén Darío Insúa plays)