Taça de Portugal · Round of 32
Estoril vs Felgueiras 1932
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril host Felgueiras 1932 on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Taça de Portugal); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Estoril 66%, draw 21%, Felgueiras 1932 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Estoril €1.1M, Felgueiras 1932 €250K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Estoril goals first.
- 2–012%
- 1–012%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Estoril 1675 · Felgueiras 1932 1410
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Estoril · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1683
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Estoril
18th in Primeira Liga · 2 pts from 10
- 31 OctLFC Porto Primeira Liga1598
- 25 OctLMoreirense Primeira Liga1702
- 10 OctLAcademico Viseu Primeira Liga1688
- 20 SepLCasa Pia Primeira Liga1672
- 14 SepLSC Braga Primeira Liga1674
Felgueiras 1932
15th in Segunda Liga · 8 pts from 10
- 7 NovDLeixoes Liga Portugal 21400
- 1 NovLTondela Liga Portugal 21426
- 25 OctDLusitânia Lourosa Liga Portugal 21429
- 12 OctLBenfica B Liga Portugal 21387
- 12 SepLPenafiel Liga Portugal 21435
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Estoril: balanced profile (how Vasco Matos plays) · Felgueiras 1932: balanced profile (how Moreno plays)