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La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Espanyol 0–1 Atletico Madrid

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · RCDE Stadium, Cornella

Espanyol crestEspanyolTeam 1985
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridTeam 2357

Match story

Espanyol · draw · Atletico Madrid

Before kick-off: 19% · 25% · 56%

Live chances: Espanyol 0%, draw 2%, Atletico Madrid 98% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 56%2' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 56%3' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 55%4' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 55%5' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 55%6' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 55%7' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 55%8' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 55%9' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 54%10' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 54%11' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 54%12' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 54%13' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 54%14' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 53%15' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 53%16' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 53%17' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 53%18' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid 53%19' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid 52%20' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid 52%21' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid 52%22' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid 52%23' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid 52%24' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 51%25' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 51%26' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 51%27' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 51%28' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 50%29' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid 50%30' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid 50%31' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid 50%32' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid 49%33' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 31%, Atletico Madrid 49%34' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 31%, Atletico Madrid 49%35' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 31%, Atletico Madrid 49%36' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 31%, Atletico Madrid 48%37' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 32%, Atletico Madrid 48%38' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 32%, Atletico Madrid 48%39' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 32%, Atletico Madrid 48%40' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid 47%41' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid 47%42' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid 47%43' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid 46%44' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 34%, Atletico Madrid 46%45' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 34%, Atletico Madrid 46%45+1' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 34%, Atletico Madrid 45%HT · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 35%, Atletico Madrid 45%47' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 36%, Atletico Madrid 44%48' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 36%, Atletico Madrid 44%49' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 37%, Atletico Madrid 43%50' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 37%, Atletico Madrid 43%51' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 38%, Atletico Madrid 43%52' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 38%, Atletico Madrid 42%53' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 39%, Atletico Madrid 42%54' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 39%, Atletico Madrid 41%55' · 0–0 · Espanyol 20%, draw 40%, Atletico Madrid 41%56' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 41%, Atletico Madrid 40%57' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 41%, Atletico Madrid 39%58' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 42%, Atletico Madrid 39%59' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 42%, Atletico Madrid 38%60' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 43%, Atletico Madrid 38%61' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 44%, Atletico Madrid 37%62' · 0–0 · Espanyol 19%, draw 45%, Atletico Madrid 37%64' · 0–0 · Espanyol 18%, draw 46%, Atletico Madrid 36%65' · 0–0 · Espanyol 18%, draw 47%, Atletico Madrid 35%66' · 0–0 · Espanyol 18%, draw 48%, Atletico Madrid 34%67' · 0–0 · Espanyol 18%, draw 48%, Atletico Madrid 34%68' · 0–0 · Espanyol 18%, draw 49%, Atletico Madrid 33%69' · 0–0 · Espanyol 17%, draw 50%, Atletico Madrid 33%70' · 0–0 · Espanyol 17%, draw 51%, Atletico Madrid 32%71' · 0–0 · Espanyol 17%, draw 52%, Atletico Madrid 31%72' · 0–0 · Espanyol 17%, draw 53%, Atletico Madrid 31%73' · 0–0 · Espanyol 16%, draw 54%, Atletico Madrid 30%74' · 0–0 · Espanyol 16%, draw 55%, Atletico Madrid 29%75' · 0–0 · Espanyol 16%, draw 56%, Atletico Madrid 28%76' · 0–0 · Espanyol 15%, draw 57%, Atletico Madrid 27%77' · 0–0 · Espanyol 15%, draw 59%, Atletico Madrid 27%78' · 0–0 · Espanyol 15%, draw 60%, Atletico Madrid 26%79' · 0–0 · Espanyol 14%, draw 61%, Atletico Madrid 25%80' · 0–0 · Espanyol 14%, draw 63%, Atletico Madrid 24%81' · 0–0 · Espanyol 13%, draw 64%, Atletico Madrid 23%82' · 0–0 · Espanyol 13%, draw 65%, Atletico Madrid 22%83' · 0–0 · Espanyol 12%, draw 67%, Atletico Madrid 21%84' · 0–0 · Espanyol 12%, draw 69%, Atletico Madrid 20%85' · 0–0 · Espanyol 11%, draw 70%, Atletico Madrid 19%86' · 0–0 · Espanyol 10%, draw 72%, Atletico Madrid 17%87' · 0–0 · Espanyol 10%, draw 74%, Atletico Madrid 16%88' · 0–0 · Espanyol 9%, draw 76%, Atletico Madrid 15%89' · 0–0 · Espanyol 8%, draw 78%, Atletico Madrid 13%90' · 0–1 · Espanyol 0%, draw 8%, Atletico Madrid 91%90+1' · 0–1 · Espanyol 0%, draw 7%, Atletico Madrid 93%90+2' · 0–1 · Espanyol 0%, draw 6%, Atletico Madrid 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Espanyol 0%, draw 4%, Atletico Madrid 96%90+5' · 0–1 · Espanyol 0%, draw 2%, Atletico Madrid 98%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Atletico Madrid 56% to win: they did.

  1. 22'Atletico Madrid:Morten Hjulmand 2418 +19
  2. 43'Atletico Madrid:Lee Kang-In 2415 +5
  3. 45'Atletico Madrid:Alejandro Grimaldo 2394 +8 for Daniel Martinez Moreno 2063 +13*
  4. 45'Atletico Madrid:Julián Álvarez 2381 +10 for Ademola Lookman 2347 +4
  5. 55'Atletico Madrid:Marcos Llorente 2401 +5 for Pablo Barrios Rivas 2412 +12
  6. 62'Atletico Madrid:Alejandro Baena Rodríguez 2538 +4 for Lee Kang-In 2415 +5
  7. 64'Espanyol:Unai Núñez 2056 −10* for Vanja Drkusic 2129 −11
  8. 66'Atletico Madrid:Cristian Romero 2458 +12
  9. 67'Atletico Madrid:Rodrigo Mendoza 2019 −3* for Cristian Romero 2458 +12
  10. 68'Atletico Madrid:Alejandro Baena Rodríguez 2538 +4
  11. 73'Espanyol:Gabriel Moscardo 1905 −8* for Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa 1810 0
  12. 73'Espanyol:Álex Calatrava Torrado 1921 0 for Eduardo Expósito Jaén 1975 −3
  13. 79'Atletico Madrid:Rodrigo Mendoza 2019 −3*
  14. 81'Espanyol:Roger Hinojo 1824 0
  15. 82'Espanyol:Javi Puado 1965 −9* for Bryan Zaragoza 2116 −9
  16. 82'Espanyol:Marcos Fernández 1835 0 for Roberto Fernández Jaén 2011 −2
  17. 87'Espanyol:Unai Núñez 2056 −10*
  18. 89'Atletico Madrid:Alejandro Baena Rodríguez 2538 +4 assist Julián Álvarez 2381 +10

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-3-2Formations4-4-2
GJ. Oblak2388+6
DMarc Pubill2438+18
DC. Romero2458+12
DD. Hancko2484+15
DDani Martínez2063+13*
MG. Simeone2462+15
MPablo Barrios2412+12
MM. Hjulmand2418+19
MLee Kang-In2415+5
FJ. David2308+9
FA. Lookman2347+4
CD. Simeone2417+13
Before kick-off: 19% · 25% · 56%(Espanyol · draw · Atletico Madrid)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Espanyol €4.6M, Atletico Madrid €25.7M.
  • Atletico Madrid were without 2 expected starters: J. Cardoso (2322) and Koke (2257).
  • Style contrast in attacking (La Liga): Espanyol ranked #20 of 20, Atletico Madrid #3.
  • Atletico Madrid had won their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Espanyol

12th in La Liga · 8 pts from 8

  • 9 OctDMalaga 1977
  • 18 SepLElche 1966
  • 15 SepLRayo Vallecano 1960
  • 12 SepWOsasuna 1934
  • 6 SepDSevilla 1954

Atletico Madrid

2nd in La Liga · 19 pts from 8

  • 13 OctWManchester United 2396
  • 10 OctWAlaves 2348
  • 20 SepWReal Madrid 2353
  • 16 SepWOsasuna 2327
  • 13 SepWReal Sociedad 2344

Season outlook

From the La Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Espanyol8 /841.80%0%13%13th
Atletico Madrid19 /879.21%97%0%3rd
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: La Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Edu Expósito
Edu Expósito

Espanyol · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1979

C. Romero
C. Romero

Atletico Madrid · +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2446

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

José Manuel González Álvarez

Coach DNA: direct

Diego Pablo Simeone González

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Espanyol: direct (how José Manuel González Álvarez plays) · Atletico Madrid: possession-based (how Diego Pablo Simeone González plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.