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1. Lig · Regular Season - 11

Esenler Erokspor 4–2 Mardin 1969

Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Esenler Stadium, Istanbul

Esenler Erokspor crestEsenler EroksporTeam 1716
4–2
Full time
HT 2–1
Mardin 1969 crestMardin 1969Team 1604

Match story

Esenler Erokspor · draw · Mardin 1969

Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 22%

Live chances: Esenler Erokspor 100%, draw 0%, Mardin 1969 0% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Esenler Erokspor 53%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 22%3' · 0–0 · Esenler Erokspor 53%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 22%4' · 0–0 · Esenler Erokspor 52%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 22%5' · 0–0 · Esenler Erokspor 52%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 22%6' · 0–0 · Esenler Erokspor 52%, draw 26%, Mardin 1969 22%7' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 16%, Mardin 1969 8%8' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 16%, Mardin 1969 8%9' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 16%, Mardin 1969 8%10' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 16%, Mardin 1969 8%11' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 16%, Mardin 1969 8%12' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 16%, Mardin 1969 8%13' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%14' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%15' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%16' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%17' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%18' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%19' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%20' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%21' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%22' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%23' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%24' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 8%25' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%26' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%27' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%28' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 75%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%29' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%30' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%31' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%32' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%33' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%34' · 1–0 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 17%, Mardin 1969 7%35' · 1–1 · Esenler Erokspor 46%, draw 31%, Mardin 1969 22%36' · 1–1 · Esenler Erokspor 46%, draw 32%, Mardin 1969 22%37' · 1–1 · Esenler Erokspor 46%, draw 32%, Mardin 1969 22%38' · 1–1 · Esenler Erokspor 46%, draw 32%, Mardin 1969 22%39' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 7%40' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 7%41' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 7%42' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%43' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%44' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%45' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%45+1' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%HT · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%46' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%47' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%48' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 76%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%49' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 77%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%50' · 2–1 · Esenler Erokspor 77%, draw 18%, Mardin 1969 6%51' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 41%, draw 38%, Mardin 1969 22%52' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 40%, draw 38%, Mardin 1969 22%53' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 40%, draw 39%, Mardin 1969 21%54' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 39%, draw 39%, Mardin 1969 21%55' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 39%, draw 40%, Mardin 1969 21%56' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 38%, draw 40%, Mardin 1969 21%57' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 38%, draw 41%, Mardin 1969 21%58' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 37%, draw 42%, Mardin 1969 21%59' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 37%, draw 42%, Mardin 1969 21%60' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 36%, draw 43%, Mardin 1969 20%61' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 36%, draw 44%, Mardin 1969 20%62' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 35%, draw 44%, Mardin 1969 20%63' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 35%, draw 45%, Mardin 1969 20%64' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 34%, draw 46%, Mardin 1969 20%65' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 34%, draw 47%, Mardin 1969 20%66' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 33%, draw 47%, Mardin 1969 19%67' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 33%, draw 48%, Mardin 1969 19%68' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 32%, draw 49%, Mardin 1969 19%69' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 32%, draw 50%, Mardin 1969 19%70' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 31%, draw 51%, Mardin 1969 18%71' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 30%, draw 52%, Mardin 1969 18%72' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 30%, draw 53%, Mardin 1969 18%73' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 29%, draw 54%, Mardin 1969 17%74' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 28%, draw 55%, Mardin 1969 17%75' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 27%, draw 56%, Mardin 1969 17%76' · 2–2 · Esenler Erokspor 27%, draw 57%, Mardin 1969 16%77' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 83%, draw 15%, Mardin 1969 2%78' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 84%, draw 14%, Mardin 1969 2%79' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 84%, draw 14%, Mardin 1969 2%80' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 85%, draw 14%, Mardin 1969 2%81' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 85%, draw 13%, Mardin 1969 1%82' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 86%, draw 13%, Mardin 1969 1%83' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 87%, draw 12%, Mardin 1969 1%84' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 87%, draw 12%, Mardin 1969 1%85' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 88%, draw 11%, Mardin 1969 1%86' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 89%, draw 11%, Mardin 1969 1%87' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 89%, draw 10%, Mardin 1969 1%88' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 90%, draw 9%, Mardin 1969 1%89' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 91%, draw 8%, Mardin 1969 0%90' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 92%, draw 8%, Mardin 1969 0%90+1' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 93%, draw 7%, Mardin 1969 0%90+2' · 3–2 · Esenler Erokspor 94%, draw 6%, Mardin 1969 0%90+3' · 4–2 · Esenler Erokspor 100%, draw 0%, Mardin 1969 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Esenler Erokspor 53% to win: they did.

  1. 6'Esenler Erokspor:Mikail Okyar 1812 assist Furkan Orak 1598
  2. 28'Esenler Erokspor:Burak Coban 1723
  3. 34'Mardin 1969:Nafican Yardimci 1565 assist Zdravko Dimitrov 1905
  4. 39'Esenler Erokspor:Eray Korkmaz 1439 (own goal)
  5. 45'Mardin 1969:Mallik Wilks 1769 for Muammer Denizhan Taskan 1270
  6. 45'Mardin 1969:Emre Taşdemir 1659 for Đorđe Denić 1787
  7. 45'Esenler Erokspor:Yusuf Erdoğan 1670 for Burak Coban 1723
  8. 51'Mardin 1969:Mallik Wilks 1769 assist Zdravko Dimitrov 1905
  9. 56'Esenler Erokspor:Mame Mor Faye 1787
  10. 58'Esenler Erokspor:Recep Niyaz 1723 for Mikail Okyar 1812
  11. 58'Esenler Erokspor:Altin Zeqiri 1860 for Enes Alıç 1581
  12. 58'Esenler Erokspor:Ferhat Yazgan 1559 for Guélor Kanga 1695
  13. 75'Esenler Erokspor:Erkan Kaş 1700 for Kubilay Kanatsızkuş 1664
  14. 77'Esenler Erokspor:Mame Mor Faye 1787 assist Furkan Orak 1598
  15. 82'Mardin 1969:O. Yıldırım for Eray Korkmaz 1439
  16. 85'Esenler Erokspor:Ferhat Yazgan 1559
  17. 90'Esenler Erokspor:Furkan Orak 1598
  18. 90+3'Esenler Erokspor:Altin Zeqiri 1860

Line-ups

4-1-4-1Formations4-4-2
GE. Kardeşler1875
DE. Korkmaz1439
DM. Şengül1392
DU. Gezer1801
DN. Yardımcı1565
MD. Taşkan1270
MA. Kabak1766
MB. Alhassan1757
MZ. Dimitrov1905
FO. Kayode1786
FĐ. Denić1787
CAhmet Cingoz1346
Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 22%(Esenler Erokspor · draw · Mardin 1969)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 4–2 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Esenler Erokspor €503K, Mardin 1969 €499K.
  • All 11 of Mardin 1969's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Esenler Erokspor

17th in 1. Lig · 9 pts from 10

  • 15 OctDManisa F.K. 1722
  • 10 OctWİstanbulspor 1711
  • 19 SepLFatih Karagümrük 1756
  • 13 SepDBursaspor 1718
  • 7 SepLKayserispor 1733

Mardin 1969

5th in 1. Lig · 18 pts from 10

  • 15 OctWFatih Karagümrük 1716
  • 11 OctWBursaspor 1687
  • 20 SepLKayserispor 1681
  • 13 SepLIğdır FK 1605
  • 7 SepWBodrum FK 1622

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Esenler Erokspor9 /1054.9<1%12%1%7th
Mardin 196918 /1058.51%26%<1%4th
Esenler Erokspor
Mardin 1969

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Kanga
G. Kanga

Esenler Erokspor · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1695

Z. Dimitrov
Z. Dimitrov

Mardin 1969 · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1905

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Hikmet Karaman

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Ahmet Cingoz

Coach DNA: –