1. Lig · Regular Season - 15
Esenler Erokspor vs Antalyaspor
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Esenler Stadium, Istanbul
Esenler Erokspor host Antalyaspor on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Esenler Erokspor 50%, draw 27%, Antalyaspor 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Esenler Erokspor €531K, Antalyaspor €469K.
- Style contrast in attacking (1. Lig): Esenler Erokspor rank #4 of 21, Antalyaspor #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Esenler Erokspor goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 0–16%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Esenler Erokspor 1756 · Antalyaspor 1671
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Esenler Erokspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1738
Antalyaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1738
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Esenler Erokspor
10th in 1. Lig · 18 pts from 14
- 7 NovWMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1710
- 30 OctWKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1712
- 25 OctLBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1725
- 19 OctWMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1700
- 15 OctDManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1714
Antalyaspor
8th in 1. Lig · 20 pts from 14
- 6 NovDBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1654
- 1 NovDIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1692
- 25 OctLBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1685
- 18 OctWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1648
- 14 OctLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1656
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor | 18 /14 | 58.3 | <1% | 23% | <1% | 5th |
| Antalyaspor | 20 /14 | 53.6 | 0% | 6% | 1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Esenler Erokspor: balanced profile (how Hikmet Karaman plays) · Antalyaspor: balanced profile (how Osman Özköylü plays)