Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo
ES Tunis host US Monastirienne on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: ES Tunis 75%, draw 16%, US Monastirienne 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ES Tunis €407K, US Monastirienne €194K.
- Ligue 1: B. Ben Saïd is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1708).
- B. Ben Saïd, C. Jebali, M. Tougai, H. Jelassi, Houssem Teka, M. Haj Ali, F. Danho, J. Diarra, K. Boualia and O. Ogbelu (ES Tunis) have not played for over 90 days.
- A. Slimane, A. Yaakoubi, A. Mohamed, M. Miladi, R. Bouchniba, R. Chikhaoui, C. El Djebali, O. Diane, Y. Dridi, F. Ben Youssef and Y. Abdelli (US Monastirienne) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. ES Tunis goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–18%
- 1–07%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: ES Tunis 1594 · US Monastirienne 1194
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches; ES Tunis from last season's line-ups (latest 7 March 2026); US Monastirienne from last season's line-ups (latest 7 March 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ES Tunis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1747
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ES Tunis
2nd in Ligue 1 · 12 pts from 5
- 18 AprLMamelodi Sundowns CAF Champions League1600
- 12 AprLMamelodi Sundowns CAF Champions League1613
- 21 MarWAl Ahly CAF Champions League1529
- 15 MarWAl Ahly CAF Champions League1502
- 7 MarWAS Marsa Tunisia Ligue 11440
US Monastirienne
- 7 MarLCS Sfaxien Tunisia Ligue 11226
- 28 FebDCA Bizertin Tunisia Ligue 11239
- 21 SepLMC Alger CAF Champions League1111
- 13 SepWMC Alger CAF Champions League1056
- 25 AugWAS PSI CAF Champions League1045
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Tunis | 12 /5 | 32.8 | 91% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| US Monastirienne | 0 /0 | 11.8 | 0% | <1% | 40% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –