Süper Lig · Regular Season - 12
Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Erzurumspor FK host Göztepe on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Erzurumspor FK 37%, draw 29%, Göztepe 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Erzurumspor FK €650K, Göztepe €2.2M.
- Home advantage makes Erzurumspor FK the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- All 11 of Erzurumspor FK's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Erzurumspor FK goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- 0–08%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Erzurumspor FK 1811 · Göztepe 1885
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Erzurumspor FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1759
Göztepe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1973
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Erzurumspor FK
12th in Süper Lig · 14 pts from 11
- 8 NovLRizespor Turkey Super Lig1843
- 31 OctLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1847
- 24 OctWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1810
- 17 OctWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1791
- 10 OctDAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1800
Göztepe
10th in Süper Lig · 15 pts from 11
- 7 NovLBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1949
- 31 OctWFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1915
- 25 OctWÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1870
- 18 OctWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1847
- 12 OctWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1842
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK | 14 /11 | 38.7 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 13th |
| Göztepe | 15 /11 | 43.5 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Erzurumspor FK: balanced profile (how Serkan Özbalta plays) · Göztepe: direct · high-pressing (how S. Stoilov plays)