Süper Lig · Regular Season - 8
Erzurumspor FK 2–0 Eyüpspor
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Erzurumspor FKTeam 1781
EyüpsporTeam 1632Match story
Erzurumspor FK · draw · EyüpsporBefore kick-off: 56% · 25% · 19%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- M. Cardoso 19'
- E. Tozlu 47'
We gave Erzurumspor FK 56% to win: they did.
- 17'Z. Jules 1710 −2
Eyüpspor:Z. Jules 1710 −2 - M. Cardoso 1779 +21 assist G. Giorbelidze 1900 +1719'
Erzurumspor FK:M. Cardoso 1779 +21 assist G. Giorbelidze 1900 +17 - E. Tozlu 1754 +24 assist M. Yumlu 1662 +3447'
Erzurumspor FK:E. Tozlu 1754 +24 assist M. Yumlu 1662 +34 - 55'L. Pintor 1641 0 for B. Boutobba 1701 −1
Eyüpspor:L. Pintor 1641 0 for B. Boutobba 1701 −1 - 55'T. Ulvan 1749 −3 for K. Michalak 1707 −2
Eyüpspor:T. Ulvan 1749 −3 for K. Michalak 1707 −2 - 67'M. Demir 1605 −1 for Y. Barasi 1619 0
Eyüpspor:M. Demir 1605 −1 for Y. Barasi 1619 0 - 67'A. Sabiri 1857 −16* for C. Raux Yao 1489 0
Eyüpspor:A. Sabiri 1857 −16* for C. Raux Yao 1489 0 - I. Diabate 1801 +2 for M. Cardoso 1779 +2171'
Erzurumspor FK:I. Diabate 1801 +2 for M. Cardoso 1779 +21 - G. Kerk 1841 −2 for E. Tozlu 1754 +2480'
Erzurumspor FK:G. Kerk 1841 −2 for E. Tozlu 1754 +24 - S. Akgun 1794 +1 for E. Owusu 1916 +480'
Erzurumspor FK:S. Akgun 1794 +1 for E. Owusu 1916 +4 - 82'D. Costa 1508 0 for I. Taskin 1796 −10
Eyüpspor:D. Costa 1508 0 for I. Taskin 1796 −10 - C. Bayrak 1453 −7* for M. Rodriguez 1773 +889'
Erzurumspor FK:C. Bayrak 1453 −7* for M. Rodriguez 1773 +8 - L. Agyekum 1788 −7* for G. Giorbelidze 1900 +1789'
Erzurumspor FK:L. Agyekum 1788 −7* for G. Giorbelidze 1900 +17
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 56% · 25% · 19%(Erzurumspor FK · draw · Eyüpspor)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Erzurumspor FK €669K, Eyüpspor €581K.
- Eyüpspor were without 1 expected starter: A. Abdullahi (1601).
- Style contrast in discipline (Süper Lig): Erzurumspor FK ranked #17 of 18, Eyüpspor #3.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Erzurumspor FK
14th in Süper Lig · 8 pts from 7
- 10 OctDAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1808
- 20 SepWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1789
- 11 SepLBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1795
- 5 SepWKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1780
- 28 AugDGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1777
Eyüpspor
18th in Süper Lig · 3 pts from 7
- 12 OctLGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1688
- 20 SepLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1666
- 12 SepLRizespor Turkey Super Lig1664
- 6 SepLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1674
- 30 AugWAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1631
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK | 8 /7 | 38.4 | 0% | <1% | 26% | 15th |
| Eyüpspor | 3 /7 | 26.5 | 0% | 0% | 90% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Erzurumspor FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1743

Eyüpspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1726
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Erzurumspor FK: balanced profile (how Serkan Özbalta plays) · Eyüpspor: balanced profile (how Mustafa Dalcı plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.