2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10
Energie Cottbus vs VfL Bochum
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
Energie Cottbus host VfL Bochum on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Energie Cottbus 38%, draw 29%, VfL Bochum 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Energie Cottbus €667K, VfL Bochum €1.1M.
- Home advantage makes Energie Cottbus the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (2. Bundesliga): Energie Cottbus rank #3 of 18, VfL Bochum #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Energie Cottbus goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Energie Cottbus 1736 · VfL Bochum 1808
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Energie Cottbus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1622
VfL Bochum · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1869
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Energie Cottbus
9th in 2. Bundesliga · 9 pts from 8
- 16 OctD1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1750
- 10 OctLSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1744
- 20 SepDFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1772
- 13 SepWKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1730
- 5 SepDVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1748
VfL Bochum
16th in 2. Bundesliga · 7 pts from 8
- 17 OctL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1817
- 11 OctLArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1836
- 20 SepLHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1830
- 12 SepDSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1843
- 5 SepWDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1849
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | 9 /8 | 41.8 | <1% | 3% | 20% | 12th |
| VfL Bochum | 7 /8 | 43.3 | <1% | 5% | 13% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Energie Cottbus: balanced profile (how Claus-Dieter Wollitz plays) · VfL Bochum: direct (how Uwe Rösler plays)