2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12
Energie Cottbus vs Hertha BSC
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
Energie Cottbus host Hertha BSC on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Energie Cottbus 30%, draw 29%, Hertha BSC 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Energie Cottbus €671K, Hertha BSC €1.6M.
- Style contrast in discipline (2. Bundesliga): Energie Cottbus rank #3 of 18, Hertha BSC #16.
- Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Energie Cottbus goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 0–18%
- 2–17%
- 2–27%
- 0–27%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Energie Cottbus 1726 · Hertha BSC 1907
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Energie Cottbus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1740
Hertha BSC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2067
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Energie Cottbus
12th in 2. Bundesliga · 11 pts from 11
- 6 NovDEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1717
- 30 OctLVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1745
- 24 OctD1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1720
- 16 OctD1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1740
- 10 OctLSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1739
Hertha BSC
1st in 2. Bundesliga · 31 pts from 11
- 7 NovWVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1947
- 31 OctW1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1918
- 28 OctWSSV Jeddeloh Germany DFB Pokal1859
- 24 OctWArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1891
- 16 OctDHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1903
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | 11 /11 | 38.6 | 0% | 1% | 28% | 16th |
| Hertha BSC | 31 /11 | 68.2 | 63% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Energie Cottbus: balanced profile (how Claus-Dieter Wollitz plays) · Hertha BSC: balanced profile (how Stefan Leitl plays)