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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Stadion der Freundschaft, Cottbus

Energie Cottbus crestEnergie CottbusTeam 1686
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
1. FC Nürnberg crest1. FC NürnbergTeam 1912

Match story

Energie Cottbus · draw · 1. FC Nürnberg

Before kick-off: 27% · 26% · 47%

Live chances: Energie Cottbus 2%, draw 95%, 1. FC Nürnberg 3% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 26%, 1. FC Nürnberg 46%2' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 26%, 1. FC Nürnberg 46%3' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 26%, 1. FC Nürnberg 46%4' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 26%, 1. FC Nürnberg 46%5' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 27%, 1. FC Nürnberg 46%6' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 27%, 1. FC Nürnberg 46%7' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 27%, 1. FC Nürnberg 46%8' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 27%, 1. FC Nürnberg 46%9' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 27%, 1. FC Nürnberg 45%10' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 27%, 1. FC Nürnberg 45%11' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 27%, 1. FC Nürnberg 45%12' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 28%, 1. FC Nürnberg 45%13' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 28%, 1. FC Nürnberg 45%14' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 28%, 1. FC Nürnberg 45%15' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 28%, 1. FC Nürnberg 45%16' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 28%, 1. FC Nürnberg 44%17' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 28%, 1. FC Nürnberg 44%18' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 44%19' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 44%20' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 44%21' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 44%22' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 43%23' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 30%, 1. FC Nürnberg 43%24' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 30%, 1. FC Nürnberg 43%25' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 30%, 1. FC Nürnberg 43%26' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 30%, 1. FC Nürnberg 43%27' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 30%, 1. FC Nürnberg 43%28' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 31%, 1. FC Nürnberg 42%29' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 31%, 1. FC Nürnberg 42%30' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 31%, 1. FC Nürnberg 42%31' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 31%, 1. FC Nürnberg 42%32' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 32%, 1. FC Nürnberg 42%33' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 32%, 1. FC Nürnberg 41%34' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 32%, 1. FC Nürnberg 41%35' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 32%, 1. FC Nürnberg 41%36' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 27%, draw 33%, 1. FC Nürnberg 41%37' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 33%, 1. FC Nürnberg 41%38' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 33%, 1. FC Nürnberg 40%39' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 34%, 1. FC Nürnberg 40%40' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 34%, 1. FC Nürnberg 40%41' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 34%, 1. FC Nürnberg 40%42' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 35%, 1. FC Nürnberg 39%43' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 35%, 1. FC Nürnberg 39%44' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 35%, 1. FC Nürnberg 39%45' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 36%, 1. FC Nürnberg 39%45+1' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 36%, 1. FC Nürnberg 38%45+2' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 36%, 1. FC Nürnberg 38%45+3' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 37%, 1. FC Nürnberg 38%45+4' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 25%, draw 37%, 1. FC Nürnberg 38%HT · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 25%, draw 37%, 1. FC Nürnberg 38%47' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 25%, draw 37%, 1. FC Nürnberg 37%48' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 25%, draw 38%, 1. FC Nürnberg 37%49' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 25%, draw 38%, 1. FC Nürnberg 37%50' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 25%, draw 39%, 1. FC Nürnberg 36%51' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 25%, draw 39%, 1. FC Nürnberg 36%52' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 25%, draw 40%, 1. FC Nürnberg 36%53' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 24%, draw 40%, 1. FC Nürnberg 35%54' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 24%, draw 41%, 1. FC Nürnberg 35%55' · 0–0 · Energie Cottbus 24%, draw 42%, 1. FC Nürnberg 34%56' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 66%, draw 24%, 1. FC Nürnberg 10%57' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 66%, draw 24%, 1. FC Nürnberg 9%58' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 67%, draw 24%, 1. FC Nürnberg 9%59' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 67%, draw 24%, 1. FC Nürnberg 9%60' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 68%, draw 24%, 1. FC Nürnberg 8%61' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 68%, draw 24%, 1. FC Nürnberg 8%62' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 69%, draw 24%, 1. FC Nürnberg 8%63' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 69%, draw 23%, 1. FC Nürnberg 8%64' · 2–0 · Energie Cottbus 94%, draw 5%, 1. FC Nürnberg 1%65' · 2–0 · Energie Cottbus 94%, draw 5%, 1. FC Nürnberg 1%66' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 71%, draw 23%, 1. FC Nürnberg 7%67' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 71%, draw 23%, 1. FC Nürnberg 6%68' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 72%, draw 22%, 1. FC Nürnberg 6%69' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 72%, draw 22%, 1. FC Nürnberg 6%70' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 73%, draw 22%, 1. FC Nürnberg 5%71' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 73%, draw 21%, 1. FC Nürnberg 5%72' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 74%, draw 21%, 1. FC Nürnberg 5%73' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 75%, draw 21%, 1. FC Nürnberg 5%75' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 76%, draw 20%, 1. FC Nürnberg 4%77' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 77%, draw 19%, 1. FC Nürnberg 3%78' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 78%, draw 19%, 1. FC Nürnberg 3%79' · 1–0 · Energie Cottbus 79%, draw 18%, 1. FC Nürnberg 3%80' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 15%, draw 65%, 1. FC Nürnberg 20%81' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 15%, draw 66%, 1. FC Nürnberg 19%83' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 13%, draw 69%, 1. FC Nürnberg 17%84' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 13%, draw 71%, 1. FC Nürnberg 17%85' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 12%, draw 72%, 1. FC Nürnberg 16%86' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 11%, draw 74%, 1. FC Nürnberg 15%87' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 11%, draw 76%, 1. FC Nürnberg 14%88' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 10%, draw 78%, 1. FC Nürnberg 12%89' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 9%, draw 80%, 1. FC Nürnberg 11%90' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 8%, draw 82%, 1. FC Nürnberg 10%90+1' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 7%, draw 84%, 1. FC Nürnberg 9%90+2' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 6%, draw 87%, 1. FC Nürnberg 7%90+3' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 5%, draw 90%, 1. FC Nürnberg 6%90+4' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 3%, draw 92%, 1. FC Nürnberg 4%90+5' · 1–1 · Energie Cottbus 2%, draw 95%, 1. FC Nürnberg 3%

Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 95% · 3%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave 1. FC Nürnberg 47% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 33'1. FC Nürnberg:William Bøving 1988 0 for Mohamed Alì Zoma 2026 0
  2. 34'1. FC Nürnberg:Adam Markhiev 2124 −1
  3. 45+1'Energie Cottbus:Henry Rorig 1763 +1
  4. 56'Energie Cottbus:Justin Butler 1622 +6 assist Leonardo Bittencourt 1788 −2
  5. 61'1. FC Nürnberg:Alexios Kalogeropoulos 1898 0
  6. 65'1. FC Nürnberg:Rafael Lubach 1764 0 for Rayan Ghrieb 1661 −1
  7. 65'Energie Cottbus:Dominik Pelivan 1744 −2 for Leonardo Bittencourt 1788 −2
  8. 65'Energie Cottbus:fousseny doumbia 1842 0 for Leon Guwara 1613 −8*
  9. 66'1. FC Nürnberg:Styopa Mkrtchyan 1607 −8* for Alexios Kalogeropoulos 1898 0
  10. 68'Energie Cottbus:Tolcay Cigerci 1787 −2
  11. 79'1. FC Nürnberg:Styopa Mkrtchyan 1607 −8* assist Eric Porstner 1735 0
  12. 80'Energie Cottbus:Dmytro Bogdanov 1402 +1 for Justin Butler 1622 +6
  13. 80'Energie Cottbus:Christian Kinsombi 1522 0 for Henry Rorig 1763 +1
  14. 82'Energie Cottbus:Tim Campulka 1597 −8* for King Samuel Manu 1812 +3
  15. 90+1'Energie Cottbus:Christian Kinsombi 1522 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Lotka1789+4
DH. Rorig1763+1
DK. Manu1812+3
DLuca Erlein1753+4
DL. Guwara1613−8*
ML. Bittencourt1788−2
MLukas Michelbrink1809+1
MM. Hannemann1690+1
MT. Ciğerci1787−2
MC. Kinsombi15220
FJ. Butler1622+6
CC. Wollitz1793+3
GJ. Reichert2062−1
DT. Janisch17980
DA. Kalogeropoulos18980
DF. Otto19630
DE. Porstner17350
MA. Marhiev2124−1
MJ. Fernandez2148−1
MR. Ghrieb1661−1
MJ. Justvan1984−1
MM. Zoma20260
FP. Scobel17750
CM. Klose2016−1
Before kick-off: 27% · 26% · 47%(Energie Cottbus · draw · 1. FC Nürnberg)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Energie Cottbus €590K, 1. FC Nürnberg €1.8M.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of 2. Bundesliga matchday 8: 127 points.
  • 2. Bundesliga: J. Reichert was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2064).
  • 1. FC Nürnberg were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Energie Cottbus

8th in 2. Bundesliga · 8 pts from 7

  • 10 OctLSV Darmstadt 98 1744
  • 20 SepDFC St. Pauli 1772
  • 13 SepWKarlsruher SC 1730
  • 5 SepDVfL Wolfsburg 1748
  • 29 AugLSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1719

1. FC Nürnberg

2nd in 2. Bundesliga · 17 pts from 7

  • 10 OctDVfL Wolfsburg 1935
  • 19 SepWKarlsruher SC 1933
  • 11 SepWHannover 96 1908
  • 5 SepDHolstein Kiel 1916
  • 29 AugWArminia Bielefeld 1857

Season outlook

From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Energie Cottbus8 /742.6<1%4%15%12th
1. FC Nürnberg17 /759.324%77%0%1st
Energie Cottbus
1. FC Nürnberg

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 2. Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Butler
J. Butler

Energie Cottbus · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1617

A. Marhiev
A. Marhiev

1. FC Nürnberg · +7.1 (Elite) · Elo 2125

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Claus-Dieter Wollitz

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Miroslav Klose

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Energie Cottbus: balanced profile (how Claus-Dieter Wollitz plays) · 1. FC Nürnberg: dribble-heavy (how Miroslav Klose plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.