Serie B · Regular Season - 8
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Empoli host Vicenza Virtus on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Empoli 48%, draw 27%, Vicenza Virtus 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Empoli €588K, Vicenza Virtus €514K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Empoli goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Empoli 1619 · Vicenza Virtus 1554
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Empoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1721
Vicenza Virtus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1756
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Empoli
14th in Serie B · 7 pts from 7
- 17 OctDAscoli Italy Serie B1629
- 10 OctLPalermo Italy Serie B1629
- 20 SepLModena Italy Serie B1651
- 11 SepLArezzo Italy Serie B1668
- 5 SepWCarrarese Italy Serie B1652
Vicenza Virtus
17th in Serie B · 6 pts from 7
- 17 OctDBenevento Italy Serie B1581
- 10 OctLPisa Italy Serie B1471
- 20 SepLHellas Verona Italy Serie B1512
- 12 SepDJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1499
- 6 SepDVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1551
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 7 /7 | 44.0 | 0% | 1% | 29% | 19th |
| Vicenza Virtus | 6 /7 | 38.7 | 0% | <1% | 61% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –