Serie B · Regular Season - 12
Empoli vs Pisa
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Empoli host Pisa on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Empoli 28%, draw 28%, Pisa 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Empoli €662K, Pisa €1.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Empoli goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Empoli 1599 · Pisa 1790
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Empoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1619
Pisa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1845
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Empoli
19th in Serie B · 9 pts from 11
- 7 NovDPadova Italy Serie B1597
- 1 NovDJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1606
- 27 OctLCesena Italy Serie B1604
- 23 OctLVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1638
- 17 OctDAscoli Italy Serie B1624
Pisa
8th in Serie B · 16 pts from 11
- 7 NovDSudtirol Italy Serie B1798
- 1 NovLAvellino Italy Serie B1811
- 28 OctDPalermo Italy Serie B1786
- 25 OctDHellas Verona Italy Serie B1784
- 17 OctWCremonese Italy Serie B1808
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 9 /11 | 39.6 | 0% | 0% | 46% | 19th |
| Pisa | 16 /11 | 58.7 | 1% | 34% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Empoli: direct (how Matteo Andreoletti plays) · Pisa: balanced profile (how Paolo Bianco plays)