Serie B · Regular Season - 10
Empoli vs Juve Stabia
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Empoli host Juve Stabia on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Empoli 40%, draw 29%, Juve Stabia 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Empoli €588K, Juve Stabia €604K.
- Home advantage makes Empoli the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Empoli goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Empoli 1619 · Juve Stabia 1657
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Empoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1721
Juve Stabia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1805
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Empoli
14th in Serie B · 7 pts from 7
- 17 OctDAscoli Italy Serie B1629
- 10 OctLPalermo Italy Serie B1629
- 20 SepLModena Italy Serie B1651
- 11 SepLArezzo Italy Serie B1668
- 5 SepWCarrarese Italy Serie B1652
Juve Stabia
18th in Serie B · 5 pts from 7
- 18 OctWSudtirol Italy Serie B1607
- 10 OctDVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1629
- 18 SepDCesena Italy Serie B1621
- 12 SepDVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1613
- 6 SepLPisa Italy Serie B1661
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 7 /7 | 44.0 | 0% | 1% | 29% | 19th |
| Juve Stabia | 5 /7 | 44.6 | 0% | 2% | 25% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Empoli: direct (how Matteo Andreoletti plays) · Juve Stabia: balanced profile (how Pietro De Giorgio plays)