Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 14
Emmen vs MVV
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:45 UTC · De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Emmen host MVV on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Emmen 56%, draw 25%, MVV 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Emmen €418K, MVV €293K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Eerste Divisie matchday 14: 181 points.
- Emmen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Emmen goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Emmen 1717 · MVV 1536
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Emmen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1732
MVV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1617
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Emmen
2nd in Eerste Divisie · 25 pts from 12
- 23 OctWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1715
- 17 OctWAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1685
- 9 OctWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1658
- 3 OctDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1669
- 26 SepWFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1631
MVV
10th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 12
- 23 OctDDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1562
- 18 OctLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1585
- 9 OctLNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1557
- 3 OctLFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1565
- 26 SepWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1537
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 25 /12 | 67.2 | 23% | 76% | 0% | 1st |
| MVV | 17 /12 | 47.6 | 0% | 1% | 13% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Emmen: balanced profile (how M. van Dam plays) · MVV: balanced profile (how Andries Jonker plays)