Segunda División · Regular Season - 14
Eldense vs Sabadell
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
Eldense host Sabadell on Sun 15 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Eldense 47%, draw 28%, Sabadell 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Eldense €554K, Sabadell €429K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Eldense goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Eldense 1644 · Sabadell 1619
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Eldense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1733
Sabadell · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1733
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Eldense
13th in Segunda División · 14 pts from 11
- 29 OctWAtlético Baleares Spain Copa del Rey1515
- 25 OctLAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1656
- 18 OctWValladolid Spain Segunda Division1615
- 10 OctWCordoba Spain Segunda Division1599
- 2 OctWOviedo Spain Segunda Division1567
Sabadell
10th in Segunda División · 17 pts from 11
- 25 OctDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1582
- 18 OctLBurgos Spain Segunda Division1607
- 10 OctWAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1499
- 26 SepDCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1562
- 20 SepWOviedo Spain Segunda Division1447
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 14 /11 | 49.3 | 0% | <1% | 16% | 16th |
| Sabadell | 17 /11 | 50.0 | 0% | <1% | 13% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –