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Segunda División · Regular Season - 9

Eldense 2–1 Cordoba

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Nuevo Pepico Amat, Alicante

Eldense crestEldenseTeam 1549
2–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Cordoba crestCordobaTeam 1652

Match story

Eldense · draw · Cordoba

Before kick-off: 37% · 28% · 35%

Live chances: Eldense 1%, draw 99%, Cordoba 1% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Eldense 37%, draw 28%, Cordoba 35%2' · 0–0 · Eldense 37%, draw 29%, Cordoba 35%3' · 0–0 · Eldense 37%, draw 29%, Cordoba 35%4' · 0–0 · Eldense 37%, draw 29%, Cordoba 35%5' · 0–0 · Eldense 37%, draw 29%, Cordoba 35%6' · 0–0 · Eldense 36%, draw 29%, Cordoba 35%7' · 0–0 · Eldense 36%, draw 29%, Cordoba 34%8' · 0–0 · Eldense 36%, draw 29%, Cordoba 34%9' · 0–0 · Eldense 36%, draw 29%, Cordoba 34%10' · 0–0 · Eldense 36%, draw 30%, Cordoba 34%11' · 0–0 · Eldense 36%, draw 30%, Cordoba 34%12' · 0–1 · Eldense 19%, draw 24%, Cordoba 57%13' · 0–1 · Eldense 19%, draw 24%, Cordoba 58%14' · 0–1 · Eldense 18%, draw 24%, Cordoba 58%15' · 0–1 · Eldense 18%, draw 24%, Cordoba 58%16' · 0–1 · Eldense 18%, draw 24%, Cordoba 58%17' · 0–2 · Eldense 4%, draw 10%, Cordoba 85%18' · 0–2 · Eldense 4%, draw 10%, Cordoba 85%19' · 0–1 · Eldense 18%, draw 24%, Cordoba 58%20' · 0–1 · Eldense 17%, draw 24%, Cordoba 59%21' · 0–1 · Eldense 17%, draw 24%, Cordoba 59%22' · 0–1 · Eldense 17%, draw 24%, Cordoba 59%23' · 0–1 · Eldense 17%, draw 24%, Cordoba 59%24' · 0–1 · Eldense 17%, draw 24%, Cordoba 59%25' · 0–1 · Eldense 16%, draw 24%, Cordoba 59%26' · 0–1 · Eldense 16%, draw 24%, Cordoba 59%27' · 0–1 · Eldense 16%, draw 24%, Cordoba 60%28' · 0–1 · Eldense 16%, draw 24%, Cordoba 60%29' · 0–1 · Eldense 16%, draw 24%, Cordoba 60%30' · 0–1 · Eldense 16%, draw 24%, Cordoba 60%31' · 0–1 · Eldense 15%, draw 24%, Cordoba 60%32' · 0–1 · Eldense 15%, draw 24%, Cordoba 60%33' · 0–1 · Eldense 15%, draw 24%, Cordoba 61%34' · 0–1 · Eldense 15%, draw 25%, Cordoba 61%35' · 0–1 · Eldense 15%, draw 25%, Cordoba 61%36' · 0–1 · Eldense 14%, draw 25%, Cordoba 61%37' · 0–1 · Eldense 14%, draw 25%, Cordoba 61%38' · 0–1 · Eldense 14%, draw 25%, Cordoba 62%39' · 0–1 · Eldense 14%, draw 25%, Cordoba 62%40' · 0–1 · Eldense 13%, draw 25%, Cordoba 62%41' · 0–1 · Eldense 13%, draw 25%, Cordoba 62%42' · 0–1 · Eldense 13%, draw 25%, Cordoba 62%43' · 0–1 · Eldense 13%, draw 25%, Cordoba 63%44' · 0–1 · Eldense 13%, draw 25%, Cordoba 63%45' · 0–2 · Eldense 2%, draw 8%, Cordoba 90%45+1' · 0–1 · Eldense 12%, draw 25%, Cordoba 63%45+2' · 0–1 · Eldense 12%, draw 25%, Cordoba 64%45+3' · 0–1 · Eldense 12%, draw 25%, Cordoba 64%45+4' · 0–1 · Eldense 12%, draw 25%, Cordoba 64%HT · 0–1 · Eldense 12%, draw 25%, Cordoba 64%46' · 0–1 · Eldense 11%, draw 25%, Cordoba 64%47' · 0–1 · Eldense 11%, draw 25%, Cordoba 64%49' · 0–1 · Eldense 11%, draw 24%, Cordoba 65%50' · 0–1 · Eldense 10%, draw 24%, Cordoba 65%51' · 0–1 · Eldense 10%, draw 24%, Cordoba 65%52' · 0–1 · Eldense 10%, draw 24%, Cordoba 66%53' · 0–1 · Eldense 10%, draw 24%, Cordoba 66%54' · 0–1 · Eldense 9%, draw 24%, Cordoba 67%55' · 0–1 · Eldense 9%, draw 24%, Cordoba 67%56' · 0–1 · Eldense 9%, draw 24%, Cordoba 67%57' · 0–1 · Eldense 8%, draw 24%, Cordoba 68%59' · 0–1 · Eldense 8%, draw 24%, Cordoba 69%60' · 0–1 · Eldense 8%, draw 23%, Cordoba 69%61' · 0–1 · Eldense 7%, draw 23%, Cordoba 69%62' · 1–1 · Eldense 26%, draw 49%, Cordoba 25%63' · 1–1 · Eldense 26%, draw 50%, Cordoba 25%64' · 1–1 · Eldense 25%, draw 50%, Cordoba 24%65' · 1–1 · Eldense 25%, draw 51%, Cordoba 24%66' · 1–1 · Eldense 24%, draw 52%, Cordoba 24%67' · 1–1 · Eldense 24%, draw 53%, Cordoba 23%68' · 1–1 · Eldense 24%, draw 54%, Cordoba 23%69' · 1–1 · Eldense 23%, draw 55%, Cordoba 22%71' · 1–1 · Eldense 22%, draw 56%, Cordoba 21%72' · 1–1 · Eldense 22%, draw 57%, Cordoba 21%73' · 1–1 · Eldense 21%, draw 58%, Cordoba 20%74' · 1–1 · Eldense 21%, draw 59%, Cordoba 20%75' · 1–1 · Eldense 20%, draw 60%, Cordoba 19%76' · 1–1 · Eldense 20%, draw 62%, Cordoba 19%77' · 1–1 · Eldense 19%, draw 63%, Cordoba 18%78' · 1–1 · Eldense 18%, draw 64%, Cordoba 18%79' · 1–1 · Eldense 18%, draw 65%, Cordoba 17%80' · 1–1 · Eldense 17%, draw 67%, Cordoba 16%81' · 1–1 · Eldense 16%, draw 68%, Cordoba 16%82' · 1–1 · Eldense 16%, draw 69%, Cordoba 15%83' · 1–1 · Eldense 15%, draw 71%, Cordoba 14%84' · 1–1 · Eldense 14%, draw 72%, Cordoba 14%85' · 1–1 · Eldense 13%, draw 74%, Cordoba 13%86' · 1–1 · Eldense 12%, draw 76%, Cordoba 12%87' · 1–1 · Eldense 12%, draw 77%, Cordoba 11%88' · 1–1 · Eldense 11%, draw 79%, Cordoba 10%89' · 1–1 · Eldense 10%, draw 81%, Cordoba 9%90' · 1–1 · Eldense 9%, draw 83%, Cordoba 8%90+1' · 1–1 · Eldense 7%, draw 85%, Cordoba 7%90+2' · 1–1 · Eldense 6%, draw 88%, Cordoba 6%90+3' · 1–1 · Eldense 5%, draw 90%, Cordoba 5%90+4' · 1–1 · Eldense 4%, draw 93%, Cordoba 3%90+5' · 1–1 · Eldense 2%, draw 96%, Cordoba 2%90+6' · 1–1 · Eldense 1%, draw 99%, Cordoba 1%

Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 99% · 1%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Eldense 37% to win: they did.

  1. 11'Cordoba:Rubén González Alves 1768 −24 assist Daniel Esmoris Tasende 1729 −13
  2. 41'Eldense:Carlos Guirao Mora 1684 +13
  3. 45'Eldense:Jesús Clemente Corcho 1509 +31* for Alejandro Ibarrondo 1505 +14
  4. 55'Cordoba:Enol Rodríguez Heres 1551 0 for Diego Percan 1557 0
  5. 60'Eldense:Javi Martínez 1776 +8 for Manuel Nieto 1741 +7
  6. 60'Eldense:Justin Smith 1666 +8*
  7. 61'Cordoba:Ismael Ruiz Sánchez 1777 −8
  8. 62'Eldense:Jorge Rastrojo 1304 +143 assist Carlos Guirao Mora 1684 +13
  9. 68'Cordoba:Damián Cáceres Rodríguez 1703 −1 for Eder Garcia 1533 0
  10. 68'Cordoba:Kevin Villodres Medina 1734 −1 for Diego Bri 1620 0
  11. 71'Eldense:Iker Recio Ortega 1690 +3 for Juan Larios López 1602 +17
  12. 71'Eldense:Jorge Martin Camunas 1476 −2* for Carlos Guirao Mora 1684 +13
  13. 84'Eldense:Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo 1060 +4 for Justin Smith 1666 +8*
  14. 87'Cordoba:Nelson Monte 1753 −21
  15. 88'Cordoba:ibai sanz 975 −8* for Kevin Villodres Medina 1734 −1
  16. 88'Cordoba:Théo Zidane 1803 0 for Adnane Ghailan Benktib 1222 0
  17. 90+1'Eldense:Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo 1060 +4
  18. 90+1'Cordoba:Daniel Budesca 1697 −2
  19. 90+6'Eldense:Fidel 1630 +10 (pen.)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-3-3
GJuanpa1602+56*
DA. Ibarrondo1505+14
DAlex Serradell1429+35
DF. Smand1780+29
DJuan Larios1602+17
MFidel1630+10
MJ. Smith1666+8*
MCarlos Guirao1684+13
MAingeru Olabarrieta1731+13
FJorge Rastrojo1304+143
FManu Nieto1741+7
CJavi Calleja1770+20
GIker Álvarez1816−10
DDaniel Budesca1697−2
DNélson Monte1753−21
DRubén Alves1768−24
DDani Tasende1729−13
MEder García15330
MIsma Ruiz1777−8
MAdnane Ghailan12220
FCristian Carracedo1742−8
FPercan15570
FDiego Bri16200
CIván Ania1756−12
Before kick-off: 37% · 28% · 35%(Eldense · draw · Cordoba)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Eldense €477K, Cordoba €625K.
  • Home advantage made Eldense the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Segunda División): Eldense ranked #23 of 24, Cordoba #3.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Eldense

17th in Segunda División · 8 pts from 8

  • 2 OctWOviedo 1570
  • 27 SepLBurgos 1532
  • 19 SepLEibar 1584
  • 13 SepWSporting Gijon 1506
  • 5 SepDMallorca 1448

Cordoba

15th in Segunda División · 9 pts from 8

  • 5 OctWTenerife 1610
  • 27 SepLValladolid 1653
  • 18 SepWAlbacete 1633
  • 12 SepLAlmeria 1641
  • 7 SepLSabadell 1665

Season outlook

From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Eldense8 /844.60%0%41%21st
Cordoba9 /849.60%<1%17%16th
Eldense
Cordoba

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Juanpa

Eldense · +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1546

Cristian Carracedo
Cristian Carracedo

Cordoba · +3.9 (Good) · Elo 1750

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Javier Calleja Revilla

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Iván Ania Cadavieco

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Eldense: direct · low-block (how Javier Calleja Revilla plays) · Cordoba: creative · shot-heavy (how Iván Ania Cadavieco plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.