La Liga · Regular Season - 11
Elche vs Valencia
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Elche host Valencia on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Elche 40%, draw 29%, Valencia 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Elche €3.5M, Valencia €5.5M.
- Home advantage makes Elche the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance; La Liga has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Elche goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Elche 1936 · Valencia 2004
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Elche · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1973
Valencia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2104
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Elche
18th in La Liga · 7 pts from 9
- 17 OctDVillarreal La Liga1917
- 11 OctDCelta Vigo La Liga1976
- 18 SepWEspanyol La Liga1908
- 15 SepLReal Madrid La Liga1904
- 12 SepDAthletic Club La Liga1925
Valencia
19th in La Liga · 6 pts from 9
- 17 OctDAthletic Club La Liga2041
- 11 OctDRacing Santander La Liga2054
- 20 SepLReal Sociedad La Liga2009
- 15 SepWAlaves La Liga1977
- 11 SepLSevilla La Liga1914
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 7 /9 | 39.3 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 16th |
| Valencia | 6 /9 | 41.4 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Elche: possession-based (how Martín Rodrigo Anselmi plays) · Valencia: balanced profile (how Javier Aguirre Onaindía plays)