La Liga · Regular Season - 8
Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
ElcheTeam 1919
Celta VigoTeam 2035Match story
Elche · draw · Celta VigoBefore kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%
Last reading, 90+3': 5% · 90% · 5%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Elche 36% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 37'Yoel Lago 1984 −8*
Celta Vigo:Yoel Lago 1984 −8* - 59'Javier Rueda García 2035 −8*
Celta Vigo:Javier Rueda García 2035 −8* - Abiel Alessio Osorio 1707 −8* for Tete Morente 1890 −9*59'
Elche:Abiel Alessio Osorio 1707 −8* for Tete Morente 1890 −9* - 60'Borja Iglesias 1941 −13* for Pablo Durán Fernández 2080 −8*
Celta Vigo:Borja Iglesias 1941 −13* for Pablo Durán Fernández 2080 −8* - 71'Williot Swedberg 2143 0 for Ferran Jutglà 2112 −8*
Celta Vigo:Williot Swedberg 2143 0 for Ferran Jutglà 2112 −8* - 71'Couhaib Driouech 1904 −8* for Hugo Alvarez Antunez 2112 −8*
Celta Vigo:Couhaib Driouech 1904 −8* for Hugo Alvarez Antunez 2112 −8* - 71'Sergio Carreira Vilarino 2162 −8* for Javi Galán 2043 −11*
Celta Vigo:Sergio Carreira Vilarino 2162 −8* for Javi Galán 2043 −11* - Martim Neto 1853 −8* for Gonzalo Villar 1964 −9*71'
Elche:Martim Neto 1853 −8* for Gonzalo Villar 1964 −9* - Lucas Cepeda 1770 −8* for Fernando Niño Rodríguez 1919 −8*71'
Elche:Lucas Cepeda 1770 −8* for Fernando Niño Rodríguez 1919 −8* - 81'Aleix Febas 2013 −10*
Celta Vigo:Aleix Febas 2013 −10* - 83'Hugo Burcio 1803 −8* for Aleix Febas 2013 −10*
Celta Vigo:Hugo Burcio 1803 −8* for Aleix Febas 2013 −10* - Facundo Buonanotte 2054 −8* for Thomas Lemar 1952 −10*87'
Elche:Facundo Buonanotte 2054 −8* for Thomas Lemar 1952 −10*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%(Elche · draw · Celta Vigo)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Elche €3.6M, Celta Vigo €6.8M.
- Elche were without 1 expected starter: F. Redondo (2018).
- Celta Vigo were without 1 expected starter: Miguel Román (2078).
- Home advantage made Elche the favourite: it added 10 points to their win chance; La Liga has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Style contrast in dribbling (La Liga): Elche ranked #4 of 20, Celta Vigo #17.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Elche
18th in La Liga · 5 pts from 7
- 18 SepWEspanyol La Liga1908
- 15 SepLReal Madrid La Liga1904
- 12 SepDAthletic Club La Liga1925
- 7 SepLReal Sociedad La Liga1928
- 28 AugLRacing Santander La Liga1912
Celta Vigo
15th in La Liga · 7 pts from 7
- 19 SepWRacing Santander La Liga2031
- 16 SepLOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League2078
- 13 SepDMalaga La Liga2039
- 7 SepDGetafe La Liga1948
- 3 SepDReal Sociedad La Liga2070
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 5 /7 | 39.6 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 16th |
| Celta Vigo | 7 /7 | 45.8 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Elche · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1973

Celta Vigo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2059
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Elche: possession-based (how Martín Rodrigo Anselmi plays) · Celta Vigo: balanced profile (how Claudio Giráldez González plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.