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La Liga · Regular Season - 8

Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

Elche crestElcheTeam 1919
0–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Celta Vigo crestCelta VigoTeam 2035

Match story

Elche · draw · Celta Vigo

Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%

Live chances: Elche 5%, draw 90%, Celta Vigo 5% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Elche 36%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 35%2' · 0–0 · Elche 36%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 35%3' · 0–0 · Elche 36%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 35%4' · 0–0 · Elche 36%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 35%5' · 0–0 · Elche 36%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 35%6' · 0–0 · Elche 36%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 35%7' · 0–0 · Elche 36%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 35%8' · 0–0 · Elche 36%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 35%9' · 0–0 · Elche 36%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo 35%10' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo 35%11' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo 35%12' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo 35%13' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo 35%14' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo 34%15' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 31%, Celta Vigo 34%16' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 31%, Celta Vigo 34%17' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 31%, Celta Vigo 34%18' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 31%, Celta Vigo 34%19' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 31%, Celta Vigo 34%20' · 0–0 · Elche 35%, draw 31%, Celta Vigo 34%21' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 32%, Celta Vigo 34%22' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 32%, Celta Vigo 34%23' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 32%, Celta Vigo 34%24' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 32%, Celta Vigo 34%25' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 33%, Celta Vigo 33%26' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 33%, Celta Vigo 33%27' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 33%, Celta Vigo 33%28' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 33%, Celta Vigo 33%29' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 33%, Celta Vigo 33%30' · 0–0 · Elche 34%, draw 34%, Celta Vigo 33%31' · 0–0 · Elche 33%, draw 34%, Celta Vigo 33%32' · 0–0 · Elche 33%, draw 34%, Celta Vigo 33%33' · 0–0 · Elche 33%, draw 34%, Celta Vigo 33%34' · 0–0 · Elche 33%, draw 35%, Celta Vigo 32%35' · 0–0 · Elche 33%, draw 35%, Celta Vigo 32%36' · 0–0 · Elche 33%, draw 35%, Celta Vigo 32%37' · 0–0 · Elche 33%, draw 36%, Celta Vigo 32%38' · 0–0 · Elche 32%, draw 36%, Celta Vigo 32%39' · 0–0 · Elche 32%, draw 36%, Celta Vigo 32%40' · 0–0 · Elche 32%, draw 36%, Celta Vigo 31%41' · 0–0 · Elche 32%, draw 37%, Celta Vigo 31%42' · 0–0 · Elche 32%, draw 37%, Celta Vigo 31%43' · 0–0 · Elche 32%, draw 37%, Celta Vigo 31%44' · 0–0 · Elche 31%, draw 38%, Celta Vigo 31%45' · 0–0 · Elche 31%, draw 38%, Celta Vigo 31%HT · 0–0 · Elche 30%, draw 40%, Celta Vigo 30%47' · 0–0 · Elche 30%, draw 40%, Celta Vigo 30%48' · 0–0 · Elche 30%, draw 40%, Celta Vigo 30%49' · 0–0 · Elche 30%, draw 41%, Celta Vigo 29%50' · 0–0 · Elche 30%, draw 41%, Celta Vigo 29%51' · 0–0 · Elche 29%, draw 42%, Celta Vigo 29%52' · 0–0 · Elche 29%, draw 42%, Celta Vigo 29%53' · 0–0 · Elche 29%, draw 43%, Celta Vigo 28%54' · 0–0 · Elche 28%, draw 44%, Celta Vigo 28%55' · 0–0 · Elche 28%, draw 44%, Celta Vigo 28%56' · 0–0 · Elche 28%, draw 45%, Celta Vigo 27%57' · 0–0 · Elche 27%, draw 46%, Celta Vigo 27%58' · 0–0 · Elche 27%, draw 46%, Celta Vigo 27%59' · 0–0 · Elche 27%, draw 47%, Celta Vigo 26%60' · 0–0 · Elche 26%, draw 48%, Celta Vigo 26%61' · 0–0 · Elche 26%, draw 48%, Celta Vigo 26%62' · 0–0 · Elche 26%, draw 49%, Celta Vigo 25%63' · 0–0 · Elche 25%, draw 50%, Celta Vigo 25%64' · 0–0 · Elche 25%, draw 51%, Celta Vigo 25%65' · 0–0 · Elche 24%, draw 51%, Celta Vigo 24%66' · 0–0 · Elche 24%, draw 52%, Celta Vigo 24%68' · 0–0 · Elche 23%, draw 54%, Celta Vigo 23%69' · 0–0 · Elche 23%, draw 55%, Celta Vigo 23%70' · 0–0 · Elche 22%, draw 56%, Celta Vigo 22%71' · 0–0 · Elche 22%, draw 57%, Celta Vigo 22%72' · 0–0 · Elche 21%, draw 57%, Celta Vigo 21%73' · 0–0 · Elche 21%, draw 59%, Celta Vigo 21%74' · 0–0 · Elche 20%, draw 60%, Celta Vigo 20%75' · 0–0 · Elche 20%, draw 61%, Celta Vigo 20%76' · 0–0 · Elche 19%, draw 62%, Celta Vigo 19%77' · 0–0 · Elche 19%, draw 63%, Celta Vigo 18%78' · 0–0 · Elche 18%, draw 64%, Celta Vigo 18%79' · 0–0 · Elche 17%, draw 65%, Celta Vigo 17%80' · 0–0 · Elche 17%, draw 67%, Celta Vigo 17%82' · 0–0 · Elche 15%, draw 69%, Celta Vigo 15%83' · 0–0 · Elche 15%, draw 71%, Celta Vigo 14%84' · 0–0 · Elche 14%, draw 72%, Celta Vigo 14%85' · 0–0 · Elche 13%, draw 74%, Celta Vigo 13%86' · 0–0 · Elche 12%, draw 76%, Celta Vigo 12%87' · 0–0 · Elche 11%, draw 77%, Celta Vigo 11%88' · 0–0 · Elche 10%, draw 79%, Celta Vigo 10%89' · 0–0 · Elche 9%, draw 81%, Celta Vigo 9%90' · 0–0 · Elche 8%, draw 83%, Celta Vigo 8%90+1' · 0–0 · Elche 7%, draw 86%, Celta Vigo 7%90+2' · 0–0 · Elche 6%, draw 88%, Celta Vigo 6%90+3' · 0–0 · Elche 5%, draw 90%, Celta Vigo 5%

Last reading, 90+3': 5% · 90% · 5%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Elche 36% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 37'Celta Vigo:Yoel Lago 1984 −8*
  2. 59'Celta Vigo:Javier Rueda García 2035 −8*
  3. 59'Elche:Abiel Alessio Osorio 1707 −8* for Tete Morente 1890 −9*
  4. 60'Celta Vigo:Borja Iglesias 1941 −13* for Pablo Durán Fernández 2080 −8*
  5. 71'Celta Vigo:Williot Swedberg 2143 0 for Ferran Jutglà 2112 −8*
  6. 71'Celta Vigo:Couhaib Driouech 1904 −8* for Hugo Alvarez Antunez 2112 −8*
  7. 71'Celta Vigo:Sergio Carreira Vilarino 2162 −8* for Javi Galán 2043 −11*
  8. 71'Elche:Martim Neto 1853 −8* for Gonzalo Villar 1964 −9*
  9. 71'Elche:Lucas Cepeda 1770 −8* for Fernando Niño Rodríguez 1919 −8*
  10. 81'Celta Vigo:Aleix Febas 2013 −10*
  11. 83'Celta Vigo:Hugo Burcio 1803 −8* for Aleix Febas 2013 −10*
  12. 87'Elche:Facundo Buonanotte 2054 −8* for Thomas Lemar 1952 −10*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations3-4-3
GM. Dituro1896−15*
DJ. Morcillo2009−8*
DR. Revivo19960
MT. Lemar1952−10*
MMarc Aguado1989−8*
FTete Morente1890−9*
FFer Niño1919−8*
CM. Anselmi2061−8*
GI. Radu2143−8*
DYoel Lago1984−8*
DMarcos Alonso2044−15*
MJavi Rueda2035−8*
MI. Moriba2201−8*
MAleix Febas2013−10*
MJavi Galán2043−11*
FPablo Durán2080−8*
Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%(Elche · draw · Celta Vigo)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Elche €3.6M, Celta Vigo €6.8M.
  • Elche were without 1 expected starter: F. Redondo (2018).
  • Celta Vigo were without 1 expected starter: Miguel Román (2078).
  • Home advantage made Elche the favourite: it added 10 points to their win chance; La Liga has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (La Liga): Elche ranked #4 of 20, Celta Vigo #17.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Elche

18th in La Liga · 5 pts from 7

  • 18 SepWEspanyol 1908
  • 15 SepLReal Madrid 1904
  • 12 SepDAthletic Club 1925
  • 7 SepLReal Sociedad 1928
  • 28 AugLRacing Santander 1912

Celta Vigo

15th in La Liga · 7 pts from 7

  • 19 SepWRacing Santander 2031
  • 16 SepLOmonia Nicosia 2078
  • 13 SepDMalaga 2039
  • 7 SepDGetafe 1948
  • 3 SepDReal Sociedad 2070

Season outlook

From the La Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Elche5 /739.60%0%25%16th
Celta Vigo7 /745.80%<1%6%10th
Elche
Celta Vigo

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: La Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar

Elche · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1973

Marcos Alonso
Marcos Alonso

Celta Vigo · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2059

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Martín Rodrigo Anselmi

Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block

Claudio Giráldez González

Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Elche: possession-based (how Martín Rodrigo Anselmi plays) · Celta Vigo: balanced profile (how Claudio Giráldez González plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.