Premier League · Regular Season - 6
El Mokawloon 1–1 Masr
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo
El MokawloonTeam 1325MasrTeam 1312- A. Baniouwda 47'
- M. Mohamed 89'
We gave El Mokawloon 39% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 15'M. Hussein – for W. Nabhan –Masr:M. Hussein – for W. Nabhan –
- I. Thiam –20'El Mokawloon:I. Thiam –
- K. Abdelfattah – for Kahraba –29'El Mokawloon:K. Abdelfattah – for Kahraba –
- M. Hamed –35'El Mokawloon:M. Hamed –
- 35'M. Mohamed –Masr:M. Mohamed –
- M. Abdelnasser – for D. Dodo –46'El Mokawloon:M. Abdelnasser – for D. Dodo –
- A. Baniouwda – assist I. Thiam –47'El Mokawloon:A. Baniouwda – assist I. Thiam –
- 60'M. Hajij – for Abdelrahman El Sakran –Masr:M. Hajij – for Abdelrahman El Sakran –
- 60'M. Ibrahim – for M. Hussein –Masr:M. Ibrahim – for M. Hussein –
- 60'R. Khalil – for A. Atef –Masr:R. Khalil – for A. Atef –
- O. Kamal – for A. Ouled Behi –75'El Mokawloon:O. Kamal – for A. Ouled Behi –
- J. Ojera – for A. Baniouwda –75'El Mokawloon:J. Ojera – for A. Baniouwda –
- M. Hamed –79'El Mokawloon:M. Hamed –
- M. Hamed –79'El Mokawloon:M. Hamed –
- Y. Safina – for I. Thiam –80'El Mokawloon:Y. Safina – for I. Thiam –
- 81'Messi – for M. Ezz –Masr:Messi – for M. Ezz –
- 87'R. Khalil –Masr:R. Khalil –
- 89'M. Mohamed –Masr:M. Mohamed –
- 90+5'M. Rabia –Masr:M. Rabia –
Before kick-off (provisional): 39% · 29% · 32%(El Mokawloon · draw · Masr)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: El Mokawloon €187K, Masr €210K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier League): El Mokawloon ranked #21 of 21, Masr #4.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
El Mokawloon
7th in Premier League · 7 pts from 5
- 15 SepWWadi Degla Egyptian Premier League1283
- 9 SepDAl Ahly Egyptian Premier League1305
- 2 SepWEl Gouna FC Egyptian Premier League1293
- 27 AugLAl Masry Egyptian Premier League1225
- 22 AugLEl Geish Egyptian Premier League1240
Masr
11th in Premier League · 7 pts from 5
- 17 SepWOlympic El Qanah Egyptian Premier League1312
- 9 SepLENPPI Egyptian Premier League1286
- 28 AugLAl Ahly Egyptian Premier League1306
- 21 AugDWadi Degla Egyptian Premier League1307
- 29 MayDKahraba Ismailia Egyptian Premier League1160
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mokawloon | 7 /5 | 27.0 | 0% | 5% | 1% | 7th |
| Masr | 7 /5 | 25.9 | 0% | 3% | 1% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
El Mokawloon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1337
Masr · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1366
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
El Mokawloon: direct (how Samy Elsoudany plays) · Masr: balanced profile (how Mohamed Shawky plays)