Premier League · Regular Season - 9
El Gouna FC vs Zamalek SC
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
El Gouna FC host Zamalek SC on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: El Gouna FC 13%, draw 20%, Zamalek SC 67%.
- Average value of the expected XI: El Gouna FC €118K, Zamalek SC €447K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 9: 419 points.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Premier League average of 27% this round.
- Premier League: Ahmed Abou El Fotouh is the highest-rated defender (1912).
- Style contrast in possession (Premier League): El Gouna FC rank #21 of 21, Zamalek SC #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. El Gouna FC goals first.
- 0–120%
- 0–216%
- 0–010%
- 1–29%
- 0–38%
- 1–18%
- Other scores29%
Team Elo: El Gouna FC 1168 · Zamalek SC 1587
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
El Gouna FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 955
Zamalek SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1577
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
El Gouna FC
20th in Premier League · 3 pts from 8
- 30 OctDAsyut Petrol Egyptian Premier League1122
- 19 OctLSmouha SC Egyptian Premier League1132
- 13 OctLAl Ittihad Egyptian Premier League1169
- 16 SepLPetrojet Egyptian Premier League1150
- 9 SepLPyramids FC Egyptian Premier League1170
Zamalek SC
3rd in Premier League · 19 pts from 8
- 28 OctWEl Mokawloon Egyptian Premier League1578
- 20 OctWAsyut Petrol Egyptian Premier League1539
- 11 OctLAl Ahly Egyptian Premier League1594
- 16 SepWGhazl El Mehalla Egyptian Premier League1546
- 8 SepWAbu Qair Semad Egyptian Premier League1547
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna FC | 3 /8 | 13.6 | 0% | 0% | 70% | 20th |
| Zamalek SC | 19 /8 | 40.7 | 3% | 97% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
El Gouna FC: direct (how Alaa Abdel Aal plays) · Zamalek SC: possession-based (how Motamed Gamal plays)