Premier League · Regular Season - 7
El Gouna FC 0–2 Smouha SC
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · El Gouna Stadium, El Guna
El Gouna FCTeam 1178Smouha SCTeam 1244- Pape Abasse Badji 82'
- Fady Farid 86'
We gave Smouha SC 38% to win: they did.
- Saber Ashraf El Shimi –38'El Gouna FC:Saber Ashraf El Shimi –
- marwan essam – for Mohamed Reda –45'El Gouna FC:marwan essam – for Mohamed Reda –
- 49'Mohamed Farouk –Smouha SC:Mohamed Farouk –
- 59'Attidjikou Samadou – for Mohamed Farouk –Smouha SC:Attidjikou Samadou – for Mohamed Farouk –
- Omar El Gazar – for Michael Egbemba –68'El Gouna FC:Omar El Gazar – for Michael Egbemba –
- Wilfried Parfait Wilfried Teukeu – for Ziad El Shayat68'El Gouna FC:Wilfried Parfait Wilfried Teukeu – for Ziad El Shayat
- 70'G. Chicoday for Khaled El Ghandour –Smouha SC:G. Chicoday for Khaled El Ghandour –
- 70'Fady Farid – for Mohamed Said Makrona –Smouha SC:Fady Farid – for Mohamed Said Makrona –
- Islam Abou Slemma for Alaa Shaaban75'El Gouna FC:Islam Abou Slemma for Alaa Shaaban
- Marwan Mohsen –76'El Gouna FC:Marwan Mohsen –
- 82'Pape Abasse Badji – assist Fady Farid –Smouha SC:Pape Abasse Badji – assist Fady Farid –
- 83'Hesham Hafez – for Ali Gamal –Smouha SC:Hesham Hafez – for Ali Gamal –
- 83'Abdelrahman Amer – for Abdel Ghani Mohamed –Smouha SC:Abdelrahman Amer – for Abdel Ghani Mohamed –
- 86'Fady Farid – assist Abdelrahman Amer –Smouha SC:Fady Farid – assist Abdelrahman Amer –
- Ahmed Gamal – for Marwan Mohsen –88'El Gouna FC:Ahmed Gamal – for Marwan Mohsen –
Before kick-off (provisional): 33% · 29% · 38%(El Gouna FC · draw · Smouha SC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: El Gouna FC €129K, Smouha SC €183K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
El Gouna FC
19th in Premier League · 2 pts from 6
- 13 OctLAl Ittihad Egyptian Premier League1170
- 16 SepLPetrojet Egyptian Premier League1157
- 9 SepLPyramids FC Egyptian Premier League1176
- 2 SepLEl Mokawloon Egyptian Premier League1205
- 28 AugDOlympic El Qanah Egyptian Premier League1240
Smouha SC
13th in Premier League · 7 pts from 6
- 12 OctWGhazl El Mehalla Egyptian Premier League1195
- 14 SepWEl Geish Egyptian Premier League1184
- 8 SepLCeramica Cleopatra Egyptian Premier League1179
- 3 SepLAl Ahly Egyptian Premier League1229
- 26 AugDAsyut Petrol Egyptian Premier League1219
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna FC | 2 /6 | 15.6 | 0% | 0% | 49% | 20th |
| Smouha SC | 7 /6 | 22.4 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
El Gouna FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 962
Smouha SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1376
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
El Gouna FC: direct (how Ahmed Mostafa plays) · Smouha SC: balanced profile (how Ahmed Abdelaziz plays)